Sudan

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Sudan
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Food Security Outlook
October 2023 - May 2024
High needs to persist amid continued conflict and below-average harvests
  • Humanitarian needs remain atypically above average as the harvest season approaches, driven by six months of continuous conflict primarily between the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). Widespread Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected through the projection period with some areas in Emergency (IPC Phase 4), notably in localities with urban centers that have been main hotspots of conflict across Greater Darfur, Greater Kordofan, and Khartoum. Of highest concern are conflict-affected people in El Obied of North Kordofan, Nyala of South Darfur, El Geneina of West Darfur, and among the urban populations in Khartoum, particularly in Omdurman, given the severe disruption to livelihoods and continued inadequate humanitarian assistance since mid-April.  
  • In October, the two main belligerents have continued to vie for control over the strategic sites in the main urban centers of Khartoum, Nyala, of South Darfur, and El Obeid of North Kordofan, with sporadic fighting continuing in Zalingei of Central Darfur and Al Fasher of North Darfur. El Geneina of West Darfur has remained relatively calm following the local ceasefire in early September but is nonetheless highly volatile.  Clashes have also reportedly spread into some smaller towns and rural areas of Greater Kordofan and Greater Darfur. According to the IOM, displacement as a result of the current crisis has surpassed any other displacement crisis globally, with 4.5 million internally displaced and an additional 1.2 million displaced to neighboring countries.
  • Harvests are expected to be below average and below that of last year, with localized areas proximate to areas of heavy fighting experiencing significantly below-average harvests. While cumulative rainfall for the June to September rainy season was broadly average to above average, localized irregularities in the temporal and spatial rainfall distribution, combined with persistently above-average temperatures, have aggravated conflict-related impacts on production. Rural areas close to heavily affected urban centers across Greater Darfur and Greater Kordofan, as well as parts of the semi-mechanized and irrigated sectors, have reported variably below-normal cultivation at the start of the season, below-average crop production through the duration of the season, and often the inability to harvest due to the conflict. 
  • The price trends for key staple foods continue to vary across the main markets in Sudan driven by the impact of the ongoing conflict and insecurity on market functionality and trade flows, anticipated below-normal performance of the main agricultural season, as well as declines in household purchasing power due to the conflict. In the east, price increases are subdued relative to the more cut-off areas of the center and west. Prices are expected to remain atypically high in the post-harvest period despite the arrival of the harvest as the conflict continues to disrupt trade and market functionality.
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Food Security
Key Message Update High prices and limited access drive high needs through the post-harvest season Sudan September 2023
Food Security Outlook Update High needs persist amid heavy fighting and poor progress of the season Sudan August 2023
Key Message Update Conflict and high prices drive widespread Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse outcomes in July Sudan July 2023
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Flooding spreads into southeastern Africa, while parts of southern Africa remain abnormally dry Global February 17, 2023 - February 23, 2023
Global Weather Hazards Southern Africa experiences flooding, while abnormal dryness continues in Eastern Africa Global February 10, 2023 - February 16, 2023
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Markets & Trade
Cross Border Trade Report East Africa Cross Border Trade East Africa October 2023
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Price Bulletin Sudan Price Bulletin Sudan August 2023
Alerts / Special Reports
Alert Sustained ceasefire and aid corridor urgently needed to prevent severe hunger Sudan May 24, 2023
Food Security Outlook Briefings Food Security Outlook Briefings
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Sudan (June 2023 - January 2024)

 
Food Security Classification Data View all Sudan classification data
Sudan Acute Food Insecurity Classification (October 2023 - May 2024)

Current (October 2023) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (October 2023 - January 2024) and medium term (February 2024 - May 2024) periods.

Sudan Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile October 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Sudan Acute Food Insecurity Classification October 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Current Situation: October 2023 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: February 2024 - May 2024 (.png) (PNG) Current Situation: October 2023 (.kml) (KML) Near Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: February 2024 - May 2024 (.kml) (KML) Sudan Acute Food Insecurity Classification (August 2023 - January 2024)

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (August 2023 - September 2023) and medium term (October 2023 - January 2024) periods.

Sudan Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile August 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Sudan Acute Food Insecurity Classification August 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Near Term Projection: August 2023 - September 2023 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: August 2023 - September 2023 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML) Sudan Acute Food Insecurity Classification (June 2023 - January 2024)

Current (June 2023) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (June 2023 - September 2023) and medium term (October 2023 - January 2024) periods.

Sudan Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile June 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Sudan Acute Food Insecurity Classification June 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Current Situation: June 2023 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: June 2023 - September 2023 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Current Situation: June 2023 (.kml) (KML) Near Term Projection: June 2023 - September 2023 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML)
Seasonal Calendar Seasonal Calendar

The Seasonal Calendar shows the annual and cyclical patterns of key food and income sources in a country throughout the typical year.
Sudan Seasonal Calendar
Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Sorghum, Normal Year Wheat, Normal Year Millet, Normal Year
Remote Sensing Imagery Remote Sensing Imagery

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

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Livelihood Zone Resources Livelihood Zone Resources
Sudan Livelihood Profiles 2014 Sudan Livelihood Profiles, North Kordofan, September 2013 Sudan Livelihoods Descriptions, August 2011 Sudan Livelihoods Zones Map
Sudan 2014 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
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