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Most of the pastoral areas are experiencing atypical pasture and water stress, adversely affecting livestock productivity and household incomes. An intensification of coping strategies, such as reducing food intake, skipping meals, and livestock destocking, are currently supporting household food access and consumption. The majority of pastoral households remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2), while a sizeable, and increasing proportion of households continue to experience Crisis (IPC Phase 3) in Garissa, Marsabit, Samburu, Tana River, and Mandera. Current ongoing humanitarian interventions, especially across pastoral areas, are likely positively impacting food insecurity outcomes.
Near total maize crop failure is expected in the southeastern and coastal marginal agricultural areas, following the poor short rains and early cessation. Also, the leguminous crop harvest is expected to be up to 60 and 80 percent below average in southeastern and coastal marginal areas, respectively. Most households have increased their search for non-farm labor opportunities, reduced their portions and/or skipped meals, and sold livestock to support food consumption as their incomes have significantly declined due to the failed season. Most areas remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2).
Prevailing hotter-than-normal land surface temperatures (plus two to three degrees Celsius above normal) have accelerated forage and water depletion across most of the pastoral and marginal agricultural areas. This is expected to continue and will exacerbate conditions with the forecast for below-average March to May long rains in both bimodal and unimodal areas.
This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.