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Future Ebola caseloads are extremely uncertain. Based on available information, FEWS NET is using a planning figure of 200,000 – 250,000 cases by January 20, 2015. If this were to occur:
- Local markets would likely stop functioning; food shortages would also be likely
- Significant drop in HH incomes and purchasing power
- Agricultural HHs would rely on their own production although outcomes would quickly deteriorate once stocks deplete, likely in the first quarter of 2015
- Emergency (IPC Phase 4) food insecurity by Mar. 2015 for HHs with family members who have been ill or have died from Ebola and poor, urban HHs
- Emergency food assistance needs would significantly exceed levels currently planned, funded, and likely
Occasionally, FEWS NET will publish a Special Report that serves to provide an in-depth analysis of food security issues of particular concern that are not covered in FEWS NET’s regular monthly reporting. These reports may focus on a specific factor driving food security outcomes anywhere in the world during a specified period of time. For example, in 2019, FEWS NET produced a Special Report on widespread flooding in East Africa and its associated impacts on regional food security.