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Extreme levels of acute food insecurity persist in the conflict-affected northeast

  • Key Message Update
  • Nigeria
  • March 2017
Extreme levels of acute food insecurity persist in the conflict-affected northeast

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Household returns continue to be noted in northeast Nigeria as some areas become more accessible. Although localized improvements in the security situation are permitting these returns, many households are returning to their local government headquarters with insufficient means to maintain livelihoods. At the same time, large areas of the northeast, in Borno State in particular, remain inaccessible.

    • In recent months there has been a significant increase in humanitarian assistance provision in the northeast, however a large portion of the population continues to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse outcomes. Worst-affected accessible areas are facing Emergency (IPC Phase 4) acute food insecurity with an increased risk of high levels of acute malnutrition and excess mortality. Less accessible areas, likely experiencing similar or worse conditions to neighboring, accessible areas, face an elevated risk of Famine (IPC Phase 5) in 2017.

    • Resource based farmer/pastoralist conflict in central states, cattle rustling activities in the northwest, and insecurity in the Niger Delta in the south also persist. These resource based conflicts have led to restricted access to pastoral incomes, fishing activities, and other income-earning opportunities. Additionally, deprecation in the national currency, the naira, continues to maintain high staple food prices across the country.

    • Average to above-average dry season harvests for cereals and vegetables in areas outside of the northeast are underway, contributing to food availability and agricultural wage labor opportunities. Most households are expected to have typical access to food through much of the summer, with much of the country in Minimal (IPC Phase 1) through May. Northern states more vulnerable to price shocks related to the depreciation of the naira and those areas impacted by farmer/pastoralist conflict will face Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes between June and September 2017.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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