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Latest food security analysis

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Key messages
Food Security Outlook Update April - September 2026 Conflict and rising input costs driving Crisis (IPC Phase 3) in northern Nigeria Download the report
  • Sustained insecurity is driving Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes across northern Nigeria through September, with Emergency (IPC Phase 4) expected in inaccessible areas of the North East amid prolonged displacement, minimal economic activity, and limited access to humanitarian assistance. Escalating abductions and attacks on civilian and military targets across northern Nigeria continue to disrupt livelihoods and market activities. Ongoing violence in Benue, Borno, Kaduna, Katsina, Kebbi, Kwara, Niger, Plateau, Sokoto, and Zamfara states has driven large-scale displacement and disrupted dry season farming. Dry season harvests are below average as conflict has limited access to farmland and water for irrigation, amid increased costs of fertilizers, agrochemicals, and petroleum products. As main‑season land preparation begins, conflict, rising input costs, and low staple prices linked to import waivers are limiting farmers’ ability to expand cultivation. As a result, most households are increasingly reliant on market purchases despite constrained incomes and elevated food prices.
  • Despite recent macroeconomic improvements, rising fuel and fertilizer costs linked to global energy price increases are eroding household purchasing power, constraining agricultural input use, and sustaining upward pressure on food prices through September. Nigeria has had some macroeconomic improvements in recent months, including an increase in external reserves to 48.8 billion USD in early April alongside greater exchange rate stability. Headline inflation, however, rose modestly to 15.38 percent in March. Most households are still constrained by weak purchasing power, persistently high prices of manufactured goods, rising energy costs, and elevated transportation expenses. These pressures have been exacerbated by the escalation in the Middle East, which has pushed retail gasoline prices to 1,300–1,400 NGN per liter and is expected to raise fertilizer prices further, limiting affordability for smallholder farmers, constraining production, and contributing to continued food price inflation through September.
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More analysis reports View all Nigeria food security analysis reports Monthly analysis
Key Message Update Nigeria March - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Nigeria February - September 2026
Key Message Update Nigeria January - May 2026
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Monthly analysis
Key Message Update Nigeria March - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Nigeria February - September 2026
Key Message Update Nigeria January - May 2026
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Explore food security analysis data
Description

The FEWS NET Data Explorer hosts the widest range of FEWS NET data for download or extract via API. The Data Explorer requires a free user account for access.

FEWS NET–style food security map of East Africa showing crisis severity by color, with conflict icons and alerts across Somalia, South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Kenya.
Acute Food Insecurity Area-Level Classifications

FEWS NET produces IPC-compatible area-level acute food insecurity classifications monthly for FEWS NET reporting countries. This data is available as spatial files, tabular files, and map images. It is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our Food Security Outlooks and Outlook Updates (FSO/U) and Key Message Updates (KMU).

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Map of East Africa with large colored circles over Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, and South Sudan indicating comparative regional metrics; capitals labeled.
Acutely Food Insecure Population Estimates

These estimates reflect the total population estimated to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity outcomes, including those who are receiving humanitarian food assistance and those who are not. This tabular data is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our FSOs, global Food Assistance Outlook Briefs (FAOB), and semi-annual global Peak Food Assistance Needs Outlook Briefs.

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Markets and trade resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s market price data and analysis, plus trade flow maps.

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Monthly Global Price Watch reports

This report provides the latest outlook on global, regional, and national market trends of key commodity prices in FEWS NET reporting countries and also analyzes the various drivers influencing these trends.

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Production and Trade Flow Maps

These maps display the geography of market systems and trade flow patterns for key products, including their key market towns and cross-border trade points.

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Price data

Price data is available for a large number of countries and products around the world. This data can be used to track the change in price of commodities, food staples, agricultural inputs, and other products over time and is a key input to FEWS NET food security analysis and Global Price Watch reports.

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Agroclimatology resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s remote sensing data and analysis of weather conditions.

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Weekly Global Weather Hazards reports

This report provides a global outlook on anticipated severe weather events, including maps with current weather information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to one week), and the potential impact on crop and pasture conditions.

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Seasonal Monitor reports

This report provides regional updates on weather events, rainfall patterns, and associated impacts on ground conditions (e.g., cropping conditions, water availability) during a given geography’s rainy season, along with a short-term rainfall forecast.

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Agroclimatology data

FEWS NET and its partners offer a range of online tools that share insights on rainfall, temperature, vegetation, soil moisture, and surface water conditions derived from remote sensing data collection and modeling.

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Livelihoods resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s maps, reports, and data on local livelihood systems.

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Nigeria 2023 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
Livelihood Baselines

Baselines provide quantitative analysis of household livelihood options. It includes a detailed breakdown of food, cash, and expenditure patterns. The Baseline also highlights market patterns, seasonality, and coping strategies.

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Livelihoods Fact Sheets

Fact Sheets provide a summary of the most relevant data from the Baseline Profile for each zone.

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Livelihood Attribute Maps

Attribute Maps extract specific information from a Profile and illustrate data graphically. For example, an Attribute Map can show where poor households depend on a certain income source, such as livestock sales or casual farm labor. That information provides context, informs analysis and monitoring activities, and helps answer specific food security questions.

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Livelihood Zone maps

Zone Maps illustrate the country by zone, showing areas where people generally have the same options for obtaining food and income and engaging in trade.

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Seasonal Calendar
Description

These calendars illustrate the monthly availability of key food and income sources, plus the starts and ends to key rainy and lean seasons. They supplement livelihoods resources and are integral to FEWS NET’s food security analysis.

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Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Nigeria
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