Conflicts continue to disrupt households’ sources of food and income in affected areas

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Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected in the regions of Tillabéry, Diffa, and the north-west of the Tahoua region due to severely disrupted food conditions, driven by conflict and compounded by flooding, leading to low agricultural production, disrupted markets, and limited livelihood activities. These outcomes are observed among poor resident households affected by flooding, poor host households hosting displaced persons, and internally displaced persons (IDPs) who have lost their agricultural production and lack opportunities to earn seasonal agricultural income.
Preliminary results from the agricultural production assessment conducted by the Statistics Directorate of the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock estimate gross production of cereals at 5,880,496 tons. This cereal production is estimated to be slightly — 1 percent — lower than last year but 13 percent higher than the five-year average. Cash crop production is also estimated to decline by 5 to 22 percent compared with last year, but to increase by 2 to 10 percent compared with the five-year average. The pastoral situation is characterized by good availability of pasture and water for livestock. As a result, food conditions have improved with the availability of new harvests in areas of the country not affected by conflict. However, access to food and income remains unfavorable for some poor households in these areas because of the impact of flooding on their food and non-food assets.
Markets are well supplied with foods products and livestock, except those located in conflict areas where insecurity along roads restricts the presence of traders and the flow of marketed goods. Prices of key food products, particularly millet, continue their decline — estimated at 5 to 33 percent compared with last year and the five-year average — whereas livestock prices (such as goats) show increases of 17 and 20 percent compared with last year and the five-year average. These favorable market conditions in areas not affected by conflict are supported by carry-over stocks from last year’s record production, the arrival of new harvests, and a ban on exporting cereals and cash crops (cowpeas) outside the Alliance of Sahel States (AES).
Food assistance needs remain high and concentrated in areas affected by security crises. However, the humanitarian food security response plans jointly developed by the government and its partners, including WFP, are still only 30 percent implemented due to limited funding and reduced geographical coverage related to conflict and security measures, including the requirement for military escorts, which restricts access to affected zones.

Recommended citation: FEWS NET. Niger Key Message Update November 2025: Conflicts continue to disrupt households’ sources of food and income in affected areas, 2025.

This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.