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Average production is favoring good food availability except in Diffa where markets remain disrupted

  • Key Message Update
  • Niger
  • November 2016
Average production is favoring good food availability except in Diffa where markets remain disrupted

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • The main ongoing livelihood activities in November 2016 are harvesting work and the selling of cereals and cash crops, which are offering good revenue-generating opportunities to poor households. This is increasing poor households’ accessibility to basic foodstuffs and maintaining Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity in November 2016 to May 2017.

    • According to available preliminary data on the agriculture season, national productions in millet, sorghum, maize, and rice are 20 percent above the five year average. All the main agricultural regions of the country have registered surpluses with localized deficits observed in certain departments like Mayahi (Maradi), Bouza (Tahoua), Torodi, Bankilare, Banibangou and Kollo (Tillabéri).  

    • In the transhumance pastoral areas of the regions of Tahoua, Zinder, Agadez, and Maradi and the agricultural areas of Maradi (Dakoro, Mayahi), early deterioration of animals’ physical conditions and early depletion of household stocks are expected following foraging and cereal deficits linked to the negative effects of climatic shocks.  Poor households will have insufficient revenues to cover their non-food needs and will be in a situation of Stressed (IPC Phase 2) starting in March 2017.

    • In the Diffa region, persistent insecurity is continuing to disrupt market functioning and the main income-generating activities like fishing, sales of pepper and livestock, and migration to Nigeria and Libya.  A Minimal (IPC Phase 1!) situation thanks to planed humanitarian support and Stressed (IPC Phase 2) situations could evolve into Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) respectively starting in February without the continuation of humanitarian assistance.

    • Market supplies are regular and normal in November. Given the new, ongoing harvests, prices have lowered between September and October in almost all monitored markets. Nevertheless, compared to average, prices in October 2016 are more than 25 percent higher in Tillabéry for millet and in Zinder for sorghum given that a large part of the new harvest has yet to arrive on the markets.

       

      For more information, see the Food Security Outlook for October 2016 to May 2017.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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