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A timid beginning of the rainy season in pastoral areas is causing a prolonged lean season

  • Key Message Update
  • Niger
  • July 2016
A timid beginning of the rainy season in pastoral areas is causing a prolonged lean season

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • The amount of rains received has allowed 85 percent of agricultural villages to plant by June 30th compared to 50 percent in 2015 during the same period. The agricultural work of planting and farm labor are procuring average revenues for poor households and favor Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity conditions in the majority of the country, which will continue at least until January 2017.

    • Markets are well supplied given the normal functioning of internal trade flows and a strong cereal circulation, except in the Diffa Region, which is encouraged by the Nigerian Naira/FCFA exchange rate. Cereal prices are stable between May and June and globally below the five-year average except in some markets experiencing normal seasonally increases in the lean season.

    • Following a timid beginning of the rainy season in pastoral areas, Stressed (IPC Phase 2) acute food insecurity will persist until August 2016 in poor pastoral areas that have experienced an earlier and longer than usual lean season this year. Nevertheless, the rainy season’s provisions will improve pastoral conditions in September and favor a Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity until at least January 2017.

    • The recent attacks in Diffa Region are aggravating the difficult food security conditions and will increase IDP numbers which OCHA estimates are around 200,000 people in June 2016. Access to food and livelihoods remain limited for most poor households and for IDPs. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) and Stressed (IPC Phase 2!) outcomes will likely persist until January 2017.


      For more information, see the Food Security Outlook for June 2016 to January 2017.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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