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Latest food security analysis

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Key messages
Mise à jour des messages clés Mars - Septembre 2026 De multiples chocs, dont les conflits, continuent de réduire l’accès alimentaire des ménages pauvres Download the report
  • L’insécurité alimentaire aiguë de Crise (Phase 3 de l’IPC) prévaut encore dans les régions de Tillabéry, de Diffa et du nord-ouest de Tahoua, due en grande partie aux conflits, mais aussi suite aux effets récurrents des inondations et au contexte économique défavorable. Les besoins alimentaires sont actuellement en augmentation et atteindront leur pic pendant la période de soudure, de juillet à septembre 2026, en raison de l’épuisement des stocks, de la dépendance aux marchés et du pic des prix des denrées alimentaires. Les populations déplacées et les ménages hôtes très pauvres de ces régions sont les plus touchés par cette insécurité alimentaire de Crise (Phase 3 de l’IPC) avec des catégories de taille réduite de populations en Urgence (Phase 4 de l’IPC) dont les moyens d’existence ont été encore davantage compromis par les effets des inondations sur les cultures et sur les biens, ainsi que par l’inflation alimentaire.
  • La dégradation de la situation sécuritaire, avec l’insécurité croissante dans les foyers de conflit, constitue le facteur majeur de l’insécurité alimentaire aiguë. Selon ACLED, Le nombre global d’incidents sécuritaires a progressé en moyenne de 14 pour cent en janvier-février 2026 par rapport à la même période en 2025, avec des augmentations de 33 pour cent, 50 pour cent et 86 pour cent enregistrées respectivement dans les régions de Dosso, Maradi et Tahoua. Les violences contre les civils provoquent des déplacements de populations estimées en février 2026 à 1 032 135 personnes dont 53 pour cent sont des personnes déplacées internes, 42 pour cent de réfugiés venus du Mali, du Nigéria et du Burkina Faso fuyant les attaques terroristes et 5 pour cent autres personnes enregistrées dans le pays. Ces tensions sécuritaires augmentent la pression sur les communautés d’accueil et leurs conditions alimentaires, tandis que perturbent le fonctionnement et l’approvisionnement des marchés, les activités de moyens d’existence et limitent l’accès aux terres de cultures de contre-saison. Elles perturbent la transhumance avec des concentrations et un surpeuplement inhabituel des troupeaux, entraînant une forte surcharge animale sur les ressources pastorales locales et une baisse de la productivité animale dans les zones en crise sécuritaire.
  • Les conditions économiques sont également défavorables dans les zones touchées par les conflits et l’insécurité. Les opportunités d’emploi locales sont limitées dans les zones de conflit, ce qui affecte significativement les revenus et le pouvoir d’achat des ménages. Aussi, même si l’inflation globale est en baisse de 10,1 pour cent en février 2026 par rapport à février 2025, les prix des denrées alimentaires sont en hausse dans les zones en conflit. Dans les zones d’insécurité de Bankilaré et Mangaïsé dans la région de Tillabéry, les prix moyens du mil s'établit à 290 FCFA.kg en février 2026, alors que le prix moyen national se situait à 221 FCFA/ kg.
  • La campagne de cultures de contre-saison dominée par les cultures irriguées de fruits et légumes, y compris le riz, le poivron, l’oignon et d’autres cultures maraîchères— offre de grandes opportunités de diversification de la consommation alimentaire et constituent des sources de revenus pour les ménages pauvres vendant leur main-d’œuvre agricole. La tendance de la production est similaire à celle de l’année passée. Toutefois, la réduction des superficies cultivées due à l'insécurité — comme en témoignent les bassins de production de Tillabéry et de Diffa — a entraîné une baisse de la demande de main-d'œuvre, amenant ainsi les salaires journaliers à se maintenir en dessous de la moyenne.
  • Le conflit en cours au Moyen-Orient devrait perturber les marchés internationaux, en particulier à travers la hausse des coûts du carburant, du fret et des intrants importés. L’impact direct sur les prix du carburant pourrait être atténué par le statut du Niger en tant que pays producteur de pétrole. Cependant, le principal impact devrait se traduire par une augmentation des prix des produits alimentaires importés, notamment le riz, le blé, les pâtes alimentaires, l’huile végétale et le sucre, réduisant l’accès des ménages, surtout urbains et dépendants des marchés. Parallèlement, la hausse attendue des prix des engrais devrait limiter l’accès des producteurs aux intrants, en particulier pour les systèmes irrigués. L’approvisionnement en intrants pour la campagne agricole 2026 (janvier–mai) repose en grande partie sur les importations en provenance du Nigéria, du Maroc et de la Russie. La réduction probable de l’utilisation des intrants fertilisants pour la campagne à venir pourrait affecter négativement les rendements et la production agricoles, ce qui pourrait renforcer la dépendance aux marchés et accentuer les pressions sur les prix alimentaires. Toutefois, le recours accru à la fumure organique et aux sources locales d’approvisionnement pourrait atténuer la dépendance aux importations et partiellement soutenir la production agricole. 
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Key Message Update March - September 2026 Multiple shocks, including conflict, continue to constrain poor households’ food access Download the report
  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes continue in the regions of Tillabéry, Diffa, and northwestern Tahoua, largely due to conflict, but also as a result of recurring flooding and an unfavorable economic context. Food needs are currently increasing and are expected to peak during the lean season from July to September 2026, driven by stock depletion, dependence on markets, and peak food prices. Displaced populations and very poor host households in these regions are the most affected by Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes. Smaller population groups, whose livelihoods have been further compromised by flood-related crop and asset losses, as well as food inflation, are facing Emergency (IPC Phase 4).
  • The deterioration of the security situation, with increasing insecurity in conflict hotspots, is the main driver of acute food insecurity. According to ACLED, the overall number of security incidents increased by an average of 14 percent in January-February 2026 compared to the same period in 2025, with increases of 33 percent, 50 percent, and 86 percent recorded in the regions of Dosso, Maradi, and Tahoua, respectively. Violence against civilians has led to population displacements estimated at 1,032,135 people in February 2026: 53 percent are internally displaced persons; 42 percent are refugees from Mali, Nigeria, and Burkina Faso fleeing terrorist attacks; and 5 percent are other individuals registered in the country. These security tensions increase pressure on host communities and their food conditions, while disrupting market functioning and supply, livelihood activities, and limiting access to land for off-season farming. Insecurity also disrupts transhumance, causing atypical concentrations and overcrowding of livestock, leading to heavy pressure on local pastoral resources and reduced livestock productivity in insecure areas.
  • Economic conditions are also unfavorable in conflict-affected areas. Local employment opportunities are limited in these zones, significantly affecting household incomes and purchasing power. Although overall inflation declined by 10.1 percent in February 2026 compared to February 2025, food prices are rising in conflict areas. In insecure areas such as Bankilaré and Mangaïsé in the Tillabéry Region, average millet prices reached 290 FCFA/kg in February 2026, compared to a national average of 221 FCFA/kg.
  • The off-season agricultural season — dominated by irrigated fruit and vegetable production, including rice, peppers, onions, and other market garden crops — offers important opportunities for diversifying food consumption and provides income sources for poor households through agricultural labor. Production trends are similar to last year. However, reduced cultivated areas due to insecurity — particularly in the production basins of Tillabéry and Diffa — have led to lower labor demand, sustaining below-average daily wages.
  • The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is expected to disrupt international markets, particularly through rising fuel, freight, and imported input costs. The direct impact on fuel prices may be mitigated by Niger’s status as an oil-producing country. However, the main impact is likely to be an increase in prices of imported food products, particularly rice, wheat, pasta, vegetable oil, and sugar, reducing access for households, especially urban and market-dependent ones. At the same time, the expected increase in fertilizer prices is likely to limit farmers’ access to inputs, particularly for irrigated systems. Input supply for the 2026 agricultural season (January-May) depends largely on imports from Nigeria, Morocco, and Russia. A likely reduction in fertilizer use for the upcoming season could negatively affect yields and agricultural production, increasing dependence on markets and further driving food price pressures. However, increased use of organic fertilizers and local supply sources could help reduce reliance on imports and partially support agricultural production. 
Read the full analysis
More analysis reports View all Niger food security analysis reports Monthly analysis
Food Security Outlook Niger February - September 2026
Key Message Update Niger January - May 2026
Food Security Outlook Update Niger December 2025
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Monthly analysis
Food Security Outlook Niger February - September 2026
Key Message Update Niger January - May 2026
Food Security Outlook Update Niger December 2025
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Explore food security analysis data
Description

The FEWS NET Data Explorer hosts the widest range of FEWS NET data for download or extract via API. The Data Explorer requires a free user account for access.

FEWS NET–style food security map of East Africa showing crisis severity by color, with conflict icons and alerts across Somalia, South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Kenya.
Acute Food Insecurity Area-Level Classifications

FEWS NET produces IPC-compatible area-level acute food insecurity classifications monthly for FEWS NET reporting countries. This data is available as spatial files, tabular files, and map images. It is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our Food Security Outlooks and Outlook Updates (FSO/U) and Key Message Updates (KMU).

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Map of East Africa with large colored circles over Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, and South Sudan indicating comparative regional metrics; capitals labeled.
Acutely Food Insecure Population Estimates

These estimates reflect the total population estimated to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity outcomes, including those who are receiving humanitarian food assistance and those who are not. This tabular data is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our FSOs, global Food Assistance Outlook Briefs (FAOB), and semi-annual global Peak Food Assistance Needs Outlook Briefs.

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Markets and trade resources
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Access FEWS NET’s market price data and analysis, plus trade flow maps.

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Monthly Global Price Watch reports

This report provides the latest outlook on global, regional, and national market trends of key commodity prices in FEWS NET reporting countries and also analyzes the various drivers influencing these trends.

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Production and Trade Flow Maps

These maps display the geography of market systems and trade flow patterns for key products, including their key market towns and cross-border trade points.

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Price data

Price data is available for a large number of countries and products around the world. This data can be used to track the change in price of commodities, food staples, agricultural inputs, and other products over time and is a key input to FEWS NET food security analysis and Global Price Watch reports.

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Agroclimatology resources
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Access FEWS NET’s remote sensing data and analysis of weather conditions.

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Weekly Global Weather Hazards reports

This report provides a global outlook on anticipated severe weather events, including maps with current weather information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to one week), and the potential impact on crop and pasture conditions.

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Seasonal Monitor reports

This report provides regional updates on weather events, rainfall patterns, and associated impacts on ground conditions (e.g., cropping conditions, water availability) during a given geography’s rainy season, along with a short-term rainfall forecast.

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Agroclimatology data

FEWS NET and its partners offer a range of online tools that share insights on rainfall, temperature, vegetation, soil moisture, and surface water conditions derived from remote sensing data collection and modeling.

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Livelihoods resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s maps, reports, and data on local livelihood systems.

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Niger 2011 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
Livelihood Zone Descriptions

Zone Descriptions accompany a Zone Map, briefly describing the main characteristics of the livelihood patterns in that zone. The maps and descriptions are useful in informing the development of monitoring systems.

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Livelihood Seasonal Monitoring Calendar

Seasonal Monitoring Calendars combine a Seasonal Calendar with information on food and income sources by wealth group. The document highlights the variables important to each wealth group by zone. The calendar is a good reference in developing a monitoring plan.

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Livelihood Zone maps

Zone Maps illustrate the country by zone, showing areas where people generally have the same options for obtaining food and income and engaging in trade.

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Seasonal Calendar
Description

These calendars illustrate the monthly availability of key food and income sources, plus the starts and ends to key rainy and lean seasons. They supplement livelihoods resources and are integral to FEWS NET’s food security analysis.

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Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Niger
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