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A shortened lean season highlights the decline of food insecurity

  • Key Message Update
  • Mauritania
  • May 2016
A shortened lean season highlights the decline of food insecurity

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Average and late (March/April instead of February/March) flood recessional harvests, satisfactory pastures, and the reinforcement of high livestock prices during the religious holidays (June and August this year) could shorten the lean season one or two months. Forecasts of a normal start to the rainy season (July) and average revenues from agricultural work (June and July) will consolidate the Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity that prevails in the majority of the country.

    • In the oasis zones (Aoujeft and western Tidjikja), the hydraulic deficit has caused, compared to an average year, a decline in date production but it is expected that the revenues derived from their sale and related activities will be at least average, allowing poor households to be in normal seasonal food conditions and in a Minimal (IPC Phase 1) situation starting in June.

    • Average productions of flood recessional crops and pastoral benefits (high livestock prices, improved milk production, etc.) have restarted certain adaptive strategies for poor households in agropastoral areas (Moudjeria and Monguel Departments) but do not manage to cover food needs as well as seasonal debt repayment that will be during the agricultural lean season this year following a shift in the crop calendar. They will remain in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) until September.

    • The increase of the VAT tax and the slower trade flows from Senegal caused by stricter customs supervision are raising rice prices and limiting its access to poor households in areas where it is the staple food (western agropastoral area).  Any new shock to its marketing could worsen the current Miminal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity of these areas before the September harvests.

       

      For more detailed analysis, see the Food Security Outlook for February to September 2016.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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