Food insecurity continues to decrease in all rural areas

The beginning of the rainy season in July, which is improving pastoral conditions, will increase the rise in animal prices and reinforce milk production. Agricultural activities will generate, between July and August, average revenues and will drive at least an average agricultural production. The government, following subsidies for agricultural inputs and the availability of agricultural credit, is aiming to increase cereal cultivation above the five year average. Minimal (IPC Phase 1) conditions will remain for most of the country until at least January.

The tendencies of animal prices are still high and will intensify with the demands of the up-coming religious holidays. The terms of exchange will continue evolving in favor of households, reinforcing their capacity to access commercial food. With the exception of rice prices that have experienced frequent fluctuations since February, other food products should be stable at their current levels until January with the harvests and satisfactory market supplies.

Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes affecting poor households in Inchiri and in the western agropastoral zone (moughataa of Moudjeria and Monguel and other pockets in Brakna) will evolve towards Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity in September with the new harvests. Nevertheless, the impacts of atypical animal sales and losses during previous years as well as high rice prices undermine this situation.

For more information, see Food Security Outlook for June 2016 to January 2017.