Key Message Update

Green harvest availability eases the lean season in agricultural areas

September 2022

September 2022

October 2022 - January 2023

IPC v3.1 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.1 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.1 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.1 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Progress for the agricultural season is generally average across much of the country. Average cereal production is expected as a result of good rainfall levels and a decline in crop pests. However, below-average production is expected in the central and northern parts of the country affected by increased insecurity, flooding, and low fertilizer use.

  • Continued insecurity in the northern and central areas has resulted in  declining  agricultural and non-agricultural labor opportunities and population displacement. As a result of decreased opportunities and displacement, households cannot  to meet their food and non-food needs, leading many to rely on atypical coping strategies, including borrowing and reliance on humanitarian assistance.

  • In agricultural areas, the availability of  green harvests for maize, legumes, milk, and dairy  products has improved household access to food. Nonetheless, food prices continue to limit poor households’ purchasing power. Current food prices are more than 60 percent higher than the five-year average.

  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected in Liptako Gourma and northern areas, while Stress (IPC Phase 2) conditions are expected in the western Sahel. With the start of the harvest period and humanitarian assistance in the form of food and cash, food security in these areas is expected to improve. From October onward, poor households in the three-border area will face Stressed (IPC Phase 2) or worse food insecurity due to the persistence of insecurity in the area, while those in the western Sahel will face Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics