Key Message Update

Improved household food access due to average ongoing green harvests

September 2020

September 2020

Carte des résultats estimés plus probables de la sécurité alimentaire, juin 2020: La plupart du pays est en Minimal (Phase 1 de l'IPC) sauf que des zones du nord du Kayes, Koulikoro, Segou, l'ouest de Mopti, le sud de Tombouctou, et le sud-ouest et le nord-est de Gao. L'est de Mopti et l'est de Gao sont en Crise (Phase 3 de l'IPC)

October 2020 - January 2021

Carte des résultats estimés plus probables de la sécurité alimentaire, octobre 2020 à janvier 2021: La plupart du pays est en Minimal (Phase 1 de l'IPC) sauf que l'est de Mopti et l'est de Gao sont en Stress (Phase 2 de l'IPC)

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • The average availability of green crops of maize, legumes (cowpea, peanuts, voandzou) and some early varieties of millet, milk and dairy products, in addition to ongoing humanitarian assistance, are bringing the end of the agropastoral lean season across the country. The average to above-average harvests expected in October/November will further improve food availability and household food access.

  • Food supply at markets remains adequate throughout the country despite disruptions to flows linked to the persistence of insecurity in the central and northern areas of the country and climatic conditions that make access to some markets difficult. Cereal prices that are similar to or slightly above the five-year average, as well as rising terms of trade for goats and cereals, are favorable to average household food access.

  • The combined impact of COVID-19 restrictions and ECOWAS economic sanctions on the country is likely to worsen the already difficult food access situation for poor households. The decline in economic opportunities, and migrant remittances will limit the capacity of poor households to adequately meet their food and non-food needs.

  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) in the Liptako Gourma region and Stressed (IPC Phase 2) in the Western Sahel and parts of the northern part of the country in September will improve to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and Minimal (IPC Phase 1), respectively, in October/November thanks to the availability of the national harvest, lower cereal prices, and improved terms of trade. Poor households that were victims of flooding - an estimated 60,000 people, will remain in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) or worse during this period.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics