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The average to good development of crops across the country increases the chance of above average production as result of rains greater than the ten year average, and the availability of agricultural inputs. However, the loss of agricultural land as a result of flooding will negatively affect levels of agricultural production, especially in the riverine regions of Gao, Tombouctou and Mopti.
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Significant damage to housing, equipment, livestock and crops was recorded from July to September as a result of rainfall-related flooding. As more flooding is expected in the Niger River Valley, this may weaken livelihoods of affected households. Poor households are experiencing difficulties to adequately meet their food and non-food needs and are therefore in Stressed (IPC Phase 2).
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The agropastoral lean season is almost complete as a result of the availability of green crops, livestock products (milk, butter) and average incomes from regular activities. Grain prices lower than the five year average in addition to these factors is allowing the majority of households to access food, placing them in Minimal (IPC Phase 1).
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The food security situation in Gourma de Gao, Tombouctou and in the Goudam lake region is improving as a result of the availability of green crops, animal products, gathered wild foods, and food aid from the government and humanitarian organizations, which have limited negative coping strategies. The situation is expected to improve from Stressed (IPC Phase 2) to Minimal (IPC Phase 1) with the new harvest in October.
This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.