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Prospects for average to above-average food availability thanks to ongoing harvests

  • Key Message Update
  • Mali
  • October 2018
Prospects for average to above-average food availability thanks to ongoing harvests

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • The progress of the current agricultural season is average to above-average overall despite localized pockets of poor production due to crop loss from flooding and reduction in area planted. The harvests (October to January) that are just starting, will improve household availability and access to food.

    • The overall above-average production of plant biomass and good breeding conditions bode well for average to above-average prospects for livestock feeding in the country. The expected improvements in body condition and livestock production will improve the quality of pastoralists' diets and incomes.

    • Household access to food is steadily improving as a result of ongoing harvests and the expected continued seasonal decline in cereal prices, which will be at levels close to or slightly above average as the harvest continues. The resulting improvement in the terms of trade for livestock/cereals will improve market access for pastoralist households.

    • Stressed (IPC Phase 2) levels of food insecurity are expected to improve to Minimal (IPC Phase 1) from October to January due to improved household access to food from ongoing harvests and lower prices of staple foods in markets. However, poor households who lost livelihoods assets from flooding may be unable to meet their food and non-food needs and will experience Stressed (IPC Phase 2) as early as January 2019.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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