Famine Early Warning Systems Network

Key Messages

• Although below the five-year average, current harvests are favorable for adequate food availability in the country during the 2021/22 consumption year. The country's production and grain prices are comparable to or slightly higher than average, allowing most households to access food without difficulty and face Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes.

• Persistent security incidents involving attacks by armed groups, the planting of explosive devices, damage to property/equipment, crop looting, and targeted killings continue to disrupt economic activities in some of the central and northern regions, as well as in the northern parts of Segou and Koulikoro, where insecurity has recently spread.

• A typical pastoral lean season for livestock is expected in April based on average to good livestock production conditions in the country. The exception will be in the western Sahel and some areas of the north, where the pastoral lean season will be early because of the rapid deterioration in livestock production conditions due to decreased grazing and overgrazing, particularly in insecure areas where access to pastoral resources is limited.

• In conflict-affected zones in the north and central regions, poor households’ livelihoods has deteriorated significantly, limiting their ability to meet their food and non-food needs. As a result, poor households are resorting to atypical migration and reduced expenditures on food and non-food items; as a result, they face Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes, which will deteriorate to Crisis (IPC Phase 3) in May 2022.