Limited household access to food due to insecurity in the central and northern parts of the country

The upcoming pastoral lean season will be normal thanks to an average to good availability of pastures and average water points in the areas of dry season livestock concentration. However, recurrent insecurity in pastoral areas limits livestock access to certain rangelands, which will negatively affect livestock production and consequently pastoral incomes.

The supply of food to markets remains average to high in the various markets across the country, although there are localized flow disruptions in the central and northern parts of the country. Cereal prices close to or slightly higher than average are favorable to average household access to food.

The current Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity situation faced by most households in the country will continue due to average food availability and access. However, poor households in the rice growing areas of the Niger Delta and in the Timbuktu River Valley in Gao will likely use atypical coping strategies to meet their food needs, placing them in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) from March to September 2019.

Households displaced by security incidents in the center of the country, particularly in Bankass, Koro and Douentza, and in the north of the country, are experiencing a deterioration in livelihoods that limits their access to food. They are currently facing Stressed (IPC Phase 2) or worse food insecurity. The same is true for poor, flood-affected households across the country.