Key Message Update

The impact of COVID-19 and insecurity has increased food insecurity in the country

July 2020

July - September 2020

Carte des résultats estimés plus probables de la sécurité alimentaire, juin 2020: La plupart du pays est en Minimal (Phase 1 de l'IPC) sauf que des zones du nord du Kayes, Koulikoro, Segou, l'ouest de Mopti, le sud de Tombouctou, et le sud-ouest et le nord-est de Gao. L'est de Mopti et l'est de Gao sont en Crise (Phase 3 de l'IPC)

October 2020 - January 2021

Carte des résultats estimés plus probables de la sécurité alimentaire, octobre 2020 à janvier 2021: La plupart du pays est en Minimal (Phase 1 de l'IPC) sauf que l'est de Mopti et l'est de Gao sont en Stress (Phase 2 de l'IPC)

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • The agricultural season is progressing as usual across the country thanks to average to above average rainfall recorded across the country. Cereal production is forecast to be 19 percent higher than the five-year average thanks to agricultural input support from the Government and partners, expected above average rainfall, and a low impact on agricultural labor due to the relaxation of restrictions related to COVID-19.

  • The regeneration of pastureland and the replenishment of water points thanks to the recorded rainfall so far this season have ended the pastoral lean season across the country. The improvement in livestock body conditions will trigger the usual increase in livestock prices, which are already similar to or above the average during the Tabaski holiday season. No livestock disease outbreaks have been reported and the vaccination campaign is continuing with the support of partners such as the ICRC and FAO.

  • Supplies of cereals at markets remain average across the country, with disruptions in some markets in the insecure central and northern areas. Cereal prices are broadly similar to or below the five-year average and improved terms of trade for livestock/cereals are conducive to average household food access.

  • The extension of COVID-19 to all regions of the country is a concern and is putting a strain on the already limited health structures as they struggle to care for those infected. The resulting economic disruptions increase vulnerability to food insecurity in urban areas, and in remittance transfer areas such as the Kayes region and the Niger River valley.

  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are ongoing in the Liptako-Gourma region, while Stressed (IPC Phase 2) is present in the western Sahel, the north of the country, and urban centers, which will continue until September. Ongoing humanitarian assistance for food and non-food items by the Government and partners will limit the use of negative coping strategies, particularly for displaced households.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics