Famine Early Warning Systems Network

Key Messages

• Off-season crop development for horticulture and rice is generally average for the country. Harvesting horticulture crops and establishing rice nurseries are providing average income opportunities for poor households. However, due to the decline in areas cultivated as a result of insecurity, below-average incomes from labor are expected in the northern areas of the Segou and Liptako Gourma. 

• As a typical pastoral lean season progresses in the country, pasture and water point availability are average, except in the insecure central and northern areas. In northern areas, including north of the Segou region, pastoralist households are experiencing deficits in grazing areas and disruptions to herd movements due to insecurity.  In these insecure areas, an early lean season is expected in February/March, adversely affecting the production of animal products and household incomes.

• Due to the availability of own productions, household food access is average in the southern agricultural areas. Due to the early depletion of stocks and above-average market prices, household food access is below-average in the western Sahel, the insecure areas of Liptako Gourma, and the river strip of the northern regions. Market supplies remain adequate despite security disruptions in the central and northern areas, including Ségou.

• Ongoing Stressed (IPC Phase 2) food insecurity in the Liptako Gourma region and northern parts of the country will continue until May due to the decline in agricultural production due to insecurity and drought. Displaced people will experience Stressed (IPC Phase 2) to Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes due to insecurity and severe deterioration of their livelihoods.