Key Message Update

Stressed (IPC Phase 2) is expected in some areas despite good national agricultural production

January 2019

January 2019

Minimal (IPC Phase 1) throughout the country

February - May 2019

Minimal (IPC Phase 1) throughout the country except along the Niger River and parts of eastern Mali

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • The 34 percent increase in agricultural production compared to the average, and the average to good outlook for the off-season favors an average to above-average overall food availability and farm incomes in the country during the 2018-19 consumption year despite pockets of declining production in some areas. As a result, the majority of households are in a Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity.

  • The average to above-average availability of pastures and water points, despite disruptions in herd movements due to insecurity, favors a normal pastoral lean season from April to June. The average income from livestock sales due to the maintenance of satisfactory animal body weight and animal products is favorable to average access to markets for pastoralists.

  • Household access to cereals is average overall thanks to the average to above-average availability of own production, although low in some areas, payments in kind and food prices close to or slightly above average. The improvement in the terms of trade of goats/grains close to the average is conducive to adequate market access for households.

  • Poor households affected by poor production due to flooding along the Mopti River in Gao and community conflicts in the Mopti and Ménaka regions are experiencing a deterioration in livelihoods. The use of atypical labor, migration, reduction of non-food expenditures and dependence on humanitarian aid to meet their food needs puts them in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) food insecurity from February onward.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics