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Average cereal prices favor household market access

  • Key Message Update
  • Mali
  • January 2016
Average cereal prices favor household market access

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • The good cereal availability on the markets thanks to an overall above-average agricultural production and average farmer stocks contribute to maintaining near-average price levels which allows normal household access to foodstuffs throughout the country. Consequently, the majority of households have Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity conditions.

    • The largely average to above-average livestock conditions throughout the country encourage average livestock physical conditions and productions (milk, milk products). The sale of these products, resulting in average revenue streams, will allow herders market access for their food needs during the 2016 consumption year given the favorable livestock-cereal terms of trade.

    • Poor households in the Timbuktu and Gao Regions have experienced an atypical reduction in their herd size due to mortality and abnormal sales during the past two years causing a decapitalization of assets. These households will revert to atypical strategies such as migration, manual labor and loans to compensate for their decreased livestock revenues. They will, as a result, be in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) food insecurity conditions starting in March 2016.

    • Because of their longer than normal market dependence and the premature finishing of their food stocks, an estimated 14,600 poor households affected by flooding in July to September 2015 will not appropriately satisfy their food and non-food needs (rebuilding lost items) without reverting to atypical coping strategies. Consequently, they will be in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) food insecurity conditions starting in March 2016.


    Figure 1


    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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