Skip to main content

At least average harvests expected in the region despite caterpillar infestations

  • Key Message Update
  • West Africa
  • August 2017
At least average harvests expected in the region despite caterpillar infestations

Download the Report

  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • In northeastern Nigeria, security conditions continue to improve, but opportunities for income generation remain very limited for households facing high food prices. Also, the level of financing for food assistance remains low in July 2017 (29 percent), leading to a decline in activities in some LGAs. As a result, many populations in Borno, Yobe and Adamawa states remain affected by acute food insecurity Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or Emergency (IPC Phase 4). Civilian populations still trapped in inaccessible areas of Borno state may face similar or worse conditions and still face a high risk of Famine (IPC Phase 5) in 2017. 

    • During this lean season, in the majority of Sahelien counties, markets remain well stocked with local food through higher-than-average 2016 production and imported products. Supply is sufficient to meet high seasonal demand except in the Lake Chad basin, where flows remain disrupted by civil insecurity, resulting in price increase of 30-40 percent in the Maradi and Zinder regions compared to usual. In Nigeria, the depreciation of the Naira keeps prices above averages, especially in conflict zones. With harvests beginning in October, prices will seasonally decline, except in Nigeria. 

    • In August, crop operations are ongoing normally and crop development is satisfactory. The maize, groundnut and yam harvests started in July in the Sudanian and Gulf of Guinea areas are available in local markets and supply the Sahelien zones. In the latter zones, average to above average harvests area expected from October due to good rainfall. However, infestations of fall armyworm (Spodoptera frugiperda) in some countries in the region (Nigeria, Ghana, Togo, Benin, Niger, Burkina Faso and Chad) constitute a major risk. Intense rains in August caused severe flooding in Sierra Leone with over 200 deaths. Flood risks remain high in the western part of the region, with heavy rains expected until the end of August. 

    • Stress (IPC Phase 2) levels of acute food insecurity affect poor households in the western agropastoral area of Mauritania due to continuing rainfall deficits and shortfalls in livelihood protections over the past few years. Stress (IPC Phase 2) conditions are also seen in Mali, rice growing and pastoral regions of Gao and Timbuktu,  parts of the inner Niger River delta, and the Western Sahel until September due to a longer than usual lean season and reduced access to markets.

    • The continuation of the security crisis in the Lake Chad Basin continues to disrupt main livelihoods and normal market functioning, and will keep the Lake Chad region in Crisis (IPC Phase 3!) until September 2017, and the Diffa region of Niger in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) until at least January 2018. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) level food insecurity also affects poor households in the Wadi Fira and Geura regions of Chad due to depletion of stocks, and early and harsh pastoral lean season, rising food prices, and declining purchasing power.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

    Get the latest food security updates in your inbox Sign up for emails

    The information provided on this Website is not official U.S. Government information and does not represent the views or positions of the U.S. Agency for International Development or the U.S. Government.

    Jump back to top