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Above-average agricultural productions favor food access

  • Key Message Update
  • Guinea
  • November 2015
Above-average agricultural productions favor food access

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • According to the World Health Organization’s November 25th Ebola Situation Report, no new confirmed cases of Ebola have occurred in the country during the past 21 days. This situation facilitates the resurgence of economic activities during the projection period (November 2015 to March 2016).

    • The joint CILSS/FEWS NET/FAO/WFP/Government assessment in November estimated 2015-2016 cereal production at 3,271,767 tons, a 4 percent increase compared to 2014-2015 and a 13 percent increase over the five year average. The manioc production is estimated at 1,528,459 tons, a 24 percent increase from the five year average. The general analysis indicates a satisfactory food availability for covering the local needs of the country.

    • This favorable production outlook will enable important seasonal activities such as agricultural labor and allow poor households to acquire normal revenues to sustain their livelihoods and expand their access to food sources. Compared to previous months, the improved food availability also stabilizes basic food prices and reinforces Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity until at least March.

    • Nevertheless, some forms of food insecurity could develop between now and March 2016 in specific localized populations which were more affected by the residual effects of Ebola, for example, bush meat vendors or certain poor agricultural households who abandoned their livelihoods during the Ebola epidemic. Although these households will not reach 20 percent of the population in any area, they have lost the majority of their revenue sources (sales of agricultural products, income-generating activities, etc.) which will result in a gradual recovery.

      For more detailed analysis, see the Remote Monitoring Update for October 2015.

    Figures

    Figure 1

    Source:

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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