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Average stock levels indicate Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes until September

  • Key Message Update
  • Guinea
  • March 2016
Average stock levels indicate Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes until September

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • As usual, the early rains have already started in the forest region, most notably in Guéckédou, Macenta, N’Zérékoré and Kissidougou. These rains will normalize between now and the end of April, with farmers planting their first crops afterwards. This situation, combined with a normal household stock level, suggest a favorable start to the 2016/2017 agricultural season that maintains Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes for all zones until September 2016.

    • Between February and March 2016, prices have remained stable with a light variation between 4500 to 5500 GNF/kg for local rice and 4000 to 45000 GNF/kg for imported rice according to the prefecture. These price levels will remain stable until the end of June when they could increase slightly due to the beginning of the lean season. Markets will remain well-supplied, which with the stability of food prices, will maintain normal food access.

    • After Ebola diminished in Guinea, cross-border exchanges of food products returned to normal. Following 5 Ebola deaths since March 16th, 2016 in the sub-prefecture of Koropara (N’Zérékoré prefecture), the Liberian government closed its borders with Guinea. Trade between the two countries is currently disrupted, which could reduce revenues of certain households, particularly with regards to exporting vegetable crops and livestock.

    For more detailed analysis, see the Food Security Outlook for February – September 2016.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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