Key Message Update

The renewal of economic activities post-Ebola encourages favorable food security conditions

January 2016
2015-Q4-1-1-GN-en

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • The growth of rice production during the 2015-2016 agricultural season, estimated at 11.75 percent by the National Agricultural and Food Statistics Agency (ANASA), indicates that households have more available food stocks currently (January to March 2016) than in an average year, not only for their consumption but also to increase their revenues. The availability of agricultural products and well-supplied markets will maintain food prices at relatively stable levels, until the beginning of the lean season at the end of May, and thus accessible to poor households.

  • The return of agricultural manual labor post-Ebola and the reprise of activities in the agricultural, livestock, and fishing domains as well as the revival of local market exchanges and exportation (palm oil, groundnuts, cocoa, etc.) are enhancing food availabilities post-Ebola and allowing producers and traders throughout the Ebola-affected areas to improve their revenues. These factors will contribute to Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity conditions throughout the country until at least March 2016.

  • Rainfall, predicted to be average during the 2016 rainy season, will promote normal crop development, the existence of good pastureland, and normal water levels. Combined with the different assistance programs of the government and its partners (in agricultural inputs and equipment) particularly in Ebola-affected areas, these conditions favor average production levels (cereals, tubers, and oleaginous) for the 2016-2017 agricultural season.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics