Chad
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- Crisis! (IPC Phase 3!) and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected in the provinces of Ouaddaï, Sila, Wadi Fira and Ennedi-Est, which face an influx of Sudanese refugees and Chadian returnees. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes also persist in the Lac Province, affected by attacks from non-state armed groups (NSAGs) and by flooding. Needs for assistance will remain high in these provinces despite the ongoing harvest period, particularly for Sudanese refugees, Chadians returnees, and internally displaced persons (IDPs) in the Lac Province.
- The influx of refugees and returnees continues and maintains high levels of acute food insecurity in the eastern provinces. Since the latest attack in El-Fasher on October 24, 9,574 new arrivals were recorded in Chad as of November 24, 2025 — significantly higher than the previous monthly average of 3,402 arrivals. This brings the total number of new arrivals since April 2023 to 892,802 Sudanese refugees and 329,894 returnees. These refugees, having lost nearly all of their livelihoods, depend on emergency food assistance, prompting WFP to pre-position food supplies in Tine, Wadi Fira for new arrivals.
- In Lac Province, attacks by NSAGs continue to force populations to flee, abandon cultivable land and harvests, and reduce income-generating activities such as fishing and petty trade. According to ACLED, between October 1 and November 22, 2025, 10 violent events occurred in the province out of the 27 recorded countrywide during the same period. These events, linked to NSAG attacks, destroyed the livelihoods of an additional 2,392 people in the Lac area.
- The cholera outbreak declared in mid-July 2025 in the Dougui refugee camp in the east of the country remains ongoing and is spreading toward the central and western provinces. The cholera epidemic continues to increase humanitarian needs and response efforts. As of November 10, 2025, 2,928 cumulative cases had been reported, including 164 deaths, 75 of which occurred in the community. The outbreak remains active in the provinces of Ouaddaï, Sila, Guera, Hadjer Lamis, and Bahr el-Gazel. Since its declaration in mid-July 2025, it has affected 16 health districts, eight of which have remained active for the past four weeks: Bitkine, Amdam, Marfa, Bokoro, Abougoudam, Massaguet, Gama, and Moussoro.
- Initial estimates from the National Directorate of Agricultural Statistics place 2025 cereal production at 2,976,782 tons — an increase of 10 percent compared with 2024 and 9 percent above the five-year average. Production of cash crops — oilseeds (groundnuts and sesame) and legumes — is average to above average, with increases of 19 percent and 21 percent, respectively compared with the five-year average. Markets are experiencing improved food availability due to the arrival of new harvests. Prices in most markets are falling seasonally and remain below last year’s levels and the five-year average. In livestock markets, households continue to sell animals to meet strong domestic and external demand, which exceeds supply and is driving up the prices of small and large ruminants. Sheep-to-millet terms of trade are favorable for pastoralists in all provinces compared with the same period last year and the five-year average.
Recommended citation: FEWS NET. Chad Key Message Update November 2025: Persistent Crisis! (IPC Phase 3!) outcomes in the eastern provinces despite widespread harvests, 2025.
This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.