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Ongoing new harvests contribute to maintaining stable acute food security

  • Key Message Update
  • Chad
  • November 2015
Ongoing new harvests contribute to maintaining stable acute food security

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • National cereal production for 2015/2016 is estimated at 2,427,241 tons according to DPAS/Ministry of Agriculture compared to the five-year average of 2,687,408 tons, a decrease of approximately 10 percent. Production of all major cereal crops is down compared to the five-year average, except for wheat (up 22 percent), due to the late start of the rainy season, the poor distribution of rains, and an early cessation of rains in certain areas.

    • The cereal production deficit is more significant in the Sahelian zone than in the Sudanian zone (south of the country). The largest deficit areas in the Sahelian zone in order of importance are Kanem, Batha, Biltine and Sila. In the Sudanian zone, Mayo Kebbi Ouest, Logone Oriental and Tandjilé experienced the largest production shortfalls.

    • The state of emergency declared in the Lac Region (November 9, 2015) has impacted markets and household livelihoods. Markets are less frequented because of restricted population movements between villages and markets, such as Bol, Bagassola, Liwa and Kiskawa. The price of maize in Bol, for example, is 34 percent above the five-year average.

    • Thanks to ongoing harvests and income from agricultural wage labor, most poor households are currently able to cover their food needs without resorting to atypical coping strategies. All livelihood zones will remain in Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 1) until December. However, beginning in January 2016, some areas of the Sahel will be Stressed (IPC Phase 2).

       

      For more detailed analysis, see the Food Security Outlook for October 2015.

    Figures

    Figure 4

    Source:

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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