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Lower wheat imports push up the cost of wheat by-products against a backdrop of rising local grain prices

  • Key Message Update
  • Chad
  • March 2022
Lower wheat imports push up the cost of wheat by-products against a backdrop of rising local grain prices

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Despite the modest economic recovery post COVID-19, sources of income for poor and very poor households remain below average as a result of the socio-political context linked to the transition and a series of recent fires. These fires affected many businesses, including rural and urban markets in most of the affected areas (Abéché, N'Djaména, Zouar, etc.), thus affecting the livelihoods of very poor and poor households, especially those who lost their possessions in the fires.

    • Despite recent off-season sorghum harvests, though below the five-year average by 3 percent, atypical price rises for millet, maize and sorghum of between 20 and 63 percent compared with the five-year average have been observed on most markets. In N'Djaména and the major urban centers, this trend is exacerbated by higher prices for manufactured and imported products, including bread, which has risen by 25 percent compared to normal, following disruptions to wheat flour imports caused by the Russian-Ukrainian crisis.

    • Following the current pastoral lean season, the situation remains tense in transhumance and agro-pastoral areas.  In Wadi Fira, many herds are traveling long distances, in excess of a typical year, in search of pasture and watering points. The animals are significantly underweight. In the Sudanian zone, pastoral overload has led to an atypical drop in biomass levels, affecting animal body conditions, which are below those of a normal year.

    • In Lac, insecurity continues to limit sources of income such as petty trade, fishing and handicrafts for displaced people and host households affected by production shortfalls. Households are in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) as they are heavily dependent on markets and face consumption deficits. The financial instability of poor and very poor households, coupled with stock shortages/exhaustions, is affecting many areas of the country, including the Sahel, which is Stressed (IPC Phase 2). However, the provinces of BEG, Kanem and Wadi Fira will be in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) from June 2022. Given the availability of market garden produce and residual stocks, most households in the Sudanian zone face Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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