Fodder deficits are affecting food security in pastoral and agro-pastoral areas

The definitive results published mid-March indicate a cereal production of 2,716,000 tons, representing a 2 percent deficit compared to the 5 years average. Alternately, the fodder deficit is significantly affecting pastoral areas, leading to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) food security outcomes, unlike the rest of the country in Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity – with the exception of Lac. 

Livestock body condition is deteriorating since the beginning of the pastoral lean season in February. Transhumants are already concentrated in the Sudanian area. Some sedentary breeders are using cattle cake as a food complement for the livestock and the animals are walking great distances to get water. Livestock prices are decreasing and Terms of Trade or unfavorable to the breeders. 

In the Lac region, pressure from displaced populations on host household’s stocks is leading to a consumption deficit (IPC Phase 3). Despite a stable cereal production (+ 2 percent) compared to average, corn is diverted to surrounding areas that are facing a serious deficit (Kanem and BEG). Cash crop production has met a 27 percent decrease compared to 5 years average. 

Markets are well furnished thanks to the new berbere harvests (off season sorghum), reinforcing cereal offer. The low availability in Wadi Fira translates in a slightly higher demand. Trade flows in the Lac region remains disrupted by the conflicts. Cereal prices keep decreasing in most markets due to the good level of traders’ stocks, reinforced by imports of manufactured goods.