Key Message Update

Food security begins to deteriorate in the Sahelian zone as households exhaust their food stocks

March 2017

March - May 2017

Chad March 2017 Food Security Projections for March to May

June - September 2017

Chad March 2017 Food Security Projections for June to September

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Food security for poor households in BEG, Kanem, Guera, Tandjilé, and Wadi Fira continues to deteriorate as households exhaust their food stocks earlier than normal and begin to face livelihood protection deficits, resulting in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes. Food security for households in Borkou and Tibesti will continue to be influenced by the security situation in southern Libya. 

  • Pressure on host households’ food reserves due to the presence of displaced households is leading to an earlier than normal exhaustion of food stocks and to food consumption deficits, with these households in Crisis (IPC Phase 3). This situation is also due to the high demand for maize from neighboring regions of BEG and Kanem where 2016/17 rain-fed production was below average.

  • On most markets, prices for millet, sorghum, and maize are below the five-year average thanks to favorable 2016/17 cereal production. In Abéché, millet prices in February 2017 were as low as 35 percent below the five-year average. In Massakory, maize prices are down by 33 percent compared to the five-year average. However, rice prices are higher than normal on main markets due to below-average production. 

  • The recent reopening of the border with Libya should facilitate increases in trade flows, benefitting households in northern areas of the country who depend on trade flows from Libya and whose food security should improve as trade returns to normal. However, compared to normal, trade flows still remain low. 

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics