Key Message Update

Off-season harvest compromised by unseasonally high temperatures

January 2017

January 2017

Chad January 2017 Food Security Projections for January

February - May 2017

Chad January 2017 Food Security Projections for February to May

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Household food security in Lac Region continues to deteriorate due to additional pressure placed on host households’ food stocks by displaced households. In addition, food access is being limited by lower than usual income, reductions in agricultural labor wage rates, and above-average maize prices. AS a result, these areas are currently facing Stressed (IPC Phase 2) acute food insecurity and will deteriorate to Crisis (IPC Phase 3) between February and May 2017. 

  • Food security in areas of Bahr el Ghazal and Wadi Fira that saw below average staple food production (by 6 and 11%, respectively) is starting to deteriorate as households exhaust food stocks. As a result, these areas will face Stressed (IPC Phase 2) acute food insecurity starting in February 2017. 

  • Trade flows with Libya continue to be constrained by the border closure that took effect on January 5, 2017 for security reasons. As a result, exports of camels, cattle, and sheep will likely remain very low and prices for imported staple food commodities are likely to increase in the Sahelian zone between now and at least May 2017. 

  • Off-season production in Guéra Region, and part of Salamet and Batha-Est have suffered from abnormal dryness due to atypically high temperatures during the heading and grain-filling stage of crop development. This has led to a drop in yields from approximately 1,100 kg/ha in a normal year to 750 kg/ha this year, with below-average production ultimately leading to an early exhaustion of household food stocks.  

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics