Chad

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Mise à jour des messages clés Janvier 2026 L’afflux de réfugiés augmente considérablement à Ennedi-Est et à Wadi Fira Download the report
  • Des résultats de Crise ! (Phase 3 ! de l’IPC) et de Crise (Phase 3 de l’IPC) persistent dans les provinces de Ouaddaï, Sila, Wadi Fira et Ennedi-Est soumises à l’afflux des réfugiés soudanais et de retournés tchadiens. Ces réfugiés, ayant perdu la quasi-totalité de leurs moyens d’existence, dépendent de l’assistance alimentaire immédiate.
  • Des résultats de Crise (Phase 3 de l’IPC) continuent aussi dans la province du Lac, affectée par la combinaison des facteurs aigus, notamment les inondations et les conflits armés impliquant des groupes armés non étatiques entraînant d’importants déplacements de populations. Ces facteurs limitent leur accès aux terres cultivables, aux récoltes et à la conduite d’activités génératrices de revenus, telles que la pêche et le petit commerce. Les déplacements internes de populations ont affecté 233 989 personnes fin décembre 2025, soit une augmentation de 6 pour cent depuis décembre 2024.
  • L’afflux des réfugiés soudanais et des retournés tchadiens continue dans les provinces de l’Est. Depuis la dernière attaque à El Fasher, au Soudan, à la fin d’octobre 2025, 25 192 nouveaux arrivants ont été enregistrés le long des frontières orientales du Tchad, dont 53 pour cent à Ennedi-Est et 36 pour cent à Wadi Fira. À la date du 25 janvier 2026, le nombre de nouveaux arrivants depuis avril 2023 s’élève à 909 218 réfugiés soudanais. À cela s’ajoutent 344 399 retournés tchadiens, dont 67 pour cent sont des enfants. Le gouvernement et le Haut-Commissariat des Nations Unies pour les réfugiés (HCR) ont relocalisé 64 pour cent des réfugiés dans des camps éloignés de leurs points d’entrée, où, eux et les communautés d’accueil, bénéficient des services fournis par les équipes humanitaires.
  • Dans la province du Lac, les sources de nourriture et de revenus des ménages sont affectées, aggravant une situation de sécurité alimentaire déjà précaire. La crainte d'attaques de groupes armés non étatiques (GANE) contraint les populations à fuir. De plus, les inondations des polders ont réduit les surfaces cultivées et compromettent les deux récoltes annuelles de maïs, essentielles à l'alimentation des ménages, ce qui les dissuade encore davantage de rester.
  • Les marchés agricoles sont bien approvisionnés grâce à la disponibilité des récoltes, des stocks céréaliers commerçants résiduels et des produits d’importation. La tendance des prix des produits céréaliers est généralement en baisse significative en raison d’une suroffre par les producteurs en quête de revenus. Le prix du mil, principale céréale consommée, continue de baisser, d’environ 10 pour cent par rapport à l’année dernière et de 17 pour cent par rapport à la moyenne quinquennale. Toutefois, des hausses significatives de prix de 28 à 69 pour cent sont observées pour le riz importé sur les marchés de forte demande situés dans les provinces de la zone soudanienne, où la performance de la saison agricole a été inférieure à la moyenne, et dans les provinces de l’Est accueillant les réfugiés.
  • Les marchés à bétail de toutes les zones sont bien ravitaillés, malgré le changement de concentration du bétail en raison de l’installation précoce du bétail transhumant dans le sud agricole depuis mi-octobre 2025, à la suite du tarissement des points d’eau dans la zone pastorale. La valeur marchande des animaux reste toujours supérieure à celle de l’année dernière, à la faveur d’une forte demande de bétail par les commerçants exportateurs. L’évolution des termes de l’échange bétail/céréale en décembre 2025 demeure en faveur des éleveurs, favorisés par la combinaison de la baisse du prix du mil et du prix élevé du bétail.  
 Read the full analysis Key Message Update January 2026 Refugee influx increasing significantly in Ennedi-Est and Wadi Fira Download the report
  • Crisis! (IPC Phase 3!) and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes persist in Ouaddaï, Sila, Wadi Fira, and Ennedi-Est provinces, which are affected by the influx of Sudanese refugees and Chadian returnees. These refugees have almost completely lost their livelihoods, making them dependent on immediate food assistance.
  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes also continue in Lac Province, which is affected by a combination of drivers – notably flooding and armed conflict involving non-state armed groups (NSAGs) – leading to significant population displacement. These factors limit access to cultivable land, harvests, and income-generating activities, such as fishing and petty trade. The province registered 233,989 internally displaced persons (IDPs) by the end of December 2025, representing a 6 percent increase compared to December 2024.
  • The influx of Sudanese refugees and Chadian returnees continues in the eastern provinces. Since the most recent attack in Al-Fasher, Sudan, at the end of October 2025, 25,192 new arrivals have been recorded along Chad’s eastern borders, with 53 percent in Ennedi-Est and 36 percent in Wadi Fira. As of January 25, 2026, the total number of new arrivals since April 2023 stands at 909,218 Sudanese refugees. In addition, there are 344,399 Chadian returnees, 67 percent of whom are children. The government and the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) have relocated 64 percent of refugees to camps away from their points of entry, where both refugees and host communities benefit from services provided by humanitarian teams.
  • In Lac Province, household food and income sources are disrupted, worsening an already fragile food security situation. Fear of attacks by NSAGs forces populations to flee. Additionally, flooding of the polders has reduced cultivated areas and jeopardized the two annual maize harvests that are essential for household food consumption, further discouraging households from remaining in the area.
  • Agricultural markets are well supplied due to the availability of harvests, residual trader cereal stocks, and imported products. Cereal prices are generally trending downward due to oversupply from producers seeking income. The price of millet, the main staple cereal consumed, continues to decline by 10 percent compared to last year and 17 percent compared to the five-year average. However, substantial price increases of 28-69 percent are observed for imported rice in high-demand markets located in provinces of the Sudanian zone, where agricultural season performance was below average, and in eastern provinces hosting refugees.
  • Livestock markets across all zones are well supplied, despite shifts in livestock concentration due to the early settlement of transhumant herds in the southern agricultural zone since mid-October 2025, following the drying up of water points in the pastoral zone. Livestock market values remain higher than last year, supported by strong demand from export traders. Terms of trade between livestock and cereals in December 2025 continue to favor herders, driven by the combination of declining millet prices and high livestock prices.
 Read the full analysis
More analysis View all Chad analysis Food security
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Global Weather Hazards Global February 5, 2026 - February 11, 2026
Global Weather Hazards Global January 22, 2026 - January 28, 2026
Global Weather Hazards Global January 15, 2026 - January 21, 2026
Markets & trade
Price Watch Global December 30, 2025
Price Watch Global November 30, 2025
Price Watch Global October 31, 2025
Alerts / Special Reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Special Report Chad August 1, 2023
Food security
Food Security Outlook Update Chad December 2025
Key Message Update Chad November 2025
Food Security Outlook Chad October 2025 - May 2026
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Global February 5, 2026 - February 11, 2026
Global Weather Hazards Global January 22, 2026 - January 28, 2026
Global Weather Hazards Global January 15, 2026 - January 21, 2026
Markets & trade
Price Watch Global December 30, 2025
Price Watch Global November 30, 2025
Price Watch Global October 31, 2025
Alerts / Special Reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Special Report Chad August 1, 2023
Food Security Classification Data View all Chad Food Security Classification data
Chad Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (December 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Chad Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile December 2025 (.zip) Chad Acute Food Insecurity Classification December 2025 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: December 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Near Term Projection: December 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml) Chad Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (November 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Chad Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile November 2025 (.zip) Chad Acute Food Insecurity Classification November 2025 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: November 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Near Term Projection: November 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml) Chad Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Current (October 2025) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (October 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Chad Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile October 2025 (.zip) Chad Acute Food Insecurity Classification October 2025 (.geojson) Current Situation: October 2025 (.png) Near Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Current Situation: October 2025 (.kml) Near Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml)
Seasonal Calendar

The Seasonal Calendar shows the annual and cyclical patterns of key food and income sources in a country throughout the typical year.
Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Chad
Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Maize, Normal Year Millet, Normal Year Rice, Normal Year Sorghum, Normal Year
Satellite-derived products map

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

View all satellite-derived products
Livelihood Zone resources Chad Rapid Livelihood Zone Profiles, August 2011 Chad Livelihood Zone Map, October 2021
Chad Livelihood Zone Map
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