Sudden return of hostility and population displacements

Following a relative calm that lasted until July/early August, armed clashes have resurfaced in the Central African Republic. The areas and populations affected are generally those in the center, west, and southwest of the country. The conflict has been followed by increased population displacements (with high concentrations in the center and south of the country), including externally to Cameroon and the Democratic Republic of Congo.

Harvest production will be below normal following a late start of season, inadequate access to seeds, and a significant decrease in area planted. National supply (including imports) will be significantly insufficient in meeting household needs in 2016.

Following the recent outbreaks of intercommunal violence, activity across many markets is waning and trade corridors are disrupted, leading to a reduction in market supply of staple foods and livestock as prices continue to increase.

Displaced households and returnees, and even resident poor households in central regions (Ouaka, Ouham, Nana Gribizi, Kémo), in the west (Ouham Pendé, Mambéré Kadéi), and in the south (Nana-Mambéré, Loubaye), continue to face difficulty meeting all their food needs due to reduced market access and the deterioration in the security situation limiting assistance delivery. These areas remain in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) acute food insecurity until at least December 2015.

For more detailed analysis, see the August 2015 Remote Monitoring Update for the Central African Republic.