Food insecurity outcomes remain in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) in several zones

• The joint FAO/WFP harvest evaluation in November 2015 estimated the 2015/2016 harvest at 54 percent below pre-Crisis levels in 2012/2013 but 10 percent above 2014 levels. This constitutes consecutive, sizeable decreases in agricultural revenue from labor and product sales for the 75 percent of the population that depend on agriculture for their subsistence. 

• The pastoral situation remains concerning due to persist conflict that is disturbing livestock movement and confining livestock herders in localized areas. According to CFSAM results, the average bovine loss is 46 percent while smaller ruminants’ loss is 57 percent compared to 2012/2013. Accordingly, revenues have diminished below the five year average for livestock herders and livestock traders.

• Following interruptions of normal trade routes, prices of groundnut, wheat flour, and beef in Bangui have increased more than 25 percent in October 2015 (a post-harvest period) compared to their pre-Crisis levels according to CFSAM results. Given the weak purchasing power of poor households in urban areas, reduced food access and poorly diversified foods consist mainly of maize and manioc whose prices remain stable in Bangui.

• According to OCHA estimates in March 2016, insecurity continues to keep 435,000 people displaced, mainly in Bangui and in the prefectures of the Southwest, Center, and Northwest. Resident households of these zones have limited access to their livelihoods and are dependent on food assistance due to the insecurity, which is restricting economic recovery. They will experience Crisis (IPC Phase 3) food insecurity outcomes until at least September 2016.

   

For more detailed analysis, see the Remote Monitoring Update for February – September 2016.