Key Message Update

New harvests lead to normalization of food security

November 2015
2015-Q4-1-1-BF-en

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • According to preliminary agricultural production estimates, national cereal production is expected to be near average. Compared to the five-year average, production is up 1 percent for cereals, 14.10 percent for maize, and 12.47 percent for rice. Cowpea, sesame, and groundnuts have also shown increases of 20.6 percent, 38.5 percent, and 13.8 percent, respectively.

  • Due to recent harvests, household demand on markets has reduced and prices for sorghum and millet are stable, but maize prices are slightly higher than the five-year average. Due to good body conditions, livestock prices are near the five-year average, and are 10 and 19 percent above average for respectively for Sahelian male goats and sheep. 

  • Staple cereal prices should follow normal seasonal trends through March, due to average expected production and rural household stocks estimated at around 600,000 metric tons. Livestock prices will trend above average due to high demand during holidays at the end of the year. 

  • Due to good water availability, households will be able to engage in normal off-season (market-gardening and gold-mining) activities, allowing them to earn normal levels of income. Very poor households will be able to earn income from harvest labor during time, as well as from non-agricultural labor in construction and brick-making.  

     

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics