Key Message Update

Households face diminished food access due to limited livelihood and coping options, especially in the south

September 2015
2015-Q3-1-1-ZW-en

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
National Parks/Reserves
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
National Parks/Reserves
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Due to low maize grain supplies in markets in southern provinces, most communities are opting to purchase less preferred maize meal instead. Maize meal prices will most likely be stable from October through December. In the northern provinces, maize grain prices are projected to be 15-25 percent higher than last year and the five-year average, which could limit household purchasing power.  

  • Limited livelihood options are expected to continue from October through December in the south due to poor livestock conditions and prices because of dryness and the spread of Foot and Mouth Disease, as well as the below-average rainfall forecast. Below-average and erratic rainfall during this period could worsen household income levels by having an adverse effect on cultivation and weeding opportunities for poor households. Remittance levels also continue to be affected by a weakening South African Rand against the United States Dollar. 

  • Planning for the 2015/16 lean season humanitarian assistance is being prioritized for the worst affected provinces in the south and should begin in October. However, lower than normal targeting levels are expected because of the constrained funding environment. Below-normal lean season assistance coverage is likely to result in a higher number of people facing food access challenges from January through March 2016.

For more detailed analysis, see the Zimbabwe Food Security Outlook for July 2015.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics