Key Message Update

Lower levels of beneficiary targeting and expected below-average seasonal rainfall to limit poor household food access

November 2015
2015-Q4-1-1-ZW-en

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
National Parks/Reserves
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
National Parks/Reserves
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Southern Zimbabwe is mainly experiencing Stressed (IPC Phase 2!) food security outcomes which will likely persist until March 2016 due to the ongoing lean season food assistance. However, some districts are in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) because of lower than normal levels of program targeting. Most northern provinces are experiencing Minimum (IPC Phase 1) outcomes, with the exception of a few areas that are Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) due to depletion of household food stocks and limited livelihood options. 

  • National average maize grain prices are above last year and the five-year average and are expected to be at these levels throughout the remainder of the consumption year. Maize meal prices are expected to continue to be typically stable on most markets, with price reductions being recorded in some areas due to competition among multiple millers.

  • Poor households continue to extend their livelihood and coping strategies in the south and extreme northern areas where lean season assistance coverage is lower than usual this consumption year. The poor seasonal rain forecast and El Niño conditions are expected to have an adverse impact on household incomes between November and March, consequently limiting food access during the consumption year.  

    For more detailed analysis, see the Food Security Outlook for October.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics