Key Message Update

Maize and meal prices likely to remain high, limiting market access for some poor households

November 2015
2015-Q4-1-2-ZM-en

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • In most parts of the country, Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity outcomes are expected to continue. However, in southwestern Zambia, where households are depending on markets for staple food access longer than usual, and income from livestock sales is being limited by the ban on cattle movement to contain the foot and mouth disease, Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes will persist up to March 2016. Relief food distributions in these areas are ongoing.  

  • Maize and meal prices remain higher than the previous year and the recent five-year average, due to below-average staple food stocks and high regional demand for Zambian maize. In a bid to reduce maize meal prices, Government will be releasing maize from the Food Reserve Agency stocks at below market price (K1.7/Kg) to millers starting in mid-November. Although prices may stabilize, they will remain high and above the five-year average up to March.

  • Agricultural households are advanced in land preparation activities, supported by recent widespread rainfall, with some starting to purchase government-subsidized inputs, though these inputs are not yet available in all districts. Households with livestock are selling some livestock to purchase the more expensive fertilizer from the market as subsidized fertilizer is inadequate (four bags per farmer as in previous years). 

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics