Key Message Update

Green harvest increases household food availability

March 2017

March - May 2017

Zambia March 2017 Food Security Projections for March to May

June - September 2017

Zambia March 2017 Food Security Projections for June to September

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity outcomes are expected to continue in most parts of the country as the lean season comes to an end, except in the extreme southwest and southeast where areas will remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2) in March due to diminishing purchase power. Good seasonal rainfall has improved crop and livestock conditions and households have started accessing green foods. The availability of the green harvest marks the end of the seasonal lean period.  With the improved food availability at the household level, Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes are projected for the April to September period throughout the country. 

  • Green foods currently available include green maize, pumpkins, fresh groundnuts and seasonal vegetables. Households are supplementing these foods with market purchases. Green foods are also being sold along with fish, small livestock, mushrooms, and wild fruits to generate income. Crops are in good condition and mostly at the grain filling or fruit formation stage. As green maize is harvested, there have been isolated reports of fall armyworm presence on cobs. Harvest prospects remain good with expectations for no less than an average maize production season.

  • In general, there are adequate maize stocks in country from the 2015/16 harvest and carryover stocks to meet demand up to the end of the current marketing season in April and beyond. Despite the large amount of in country maize stocks and the continued maize export ban, retail maize and meal prices remain 60 percent above the recent five-year average. In April, maize prices typically begin to decrease as food supplies from the green and main harvests enter the market and demand for food purchases declines. By June, maize prices are expected to remain above the five-year average, but will fall to levels below last season.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics