Key Message Update

Southwest Stressed as poor households’ dependency on expensive maize meal increases

September 2015
2015-Q3-1-1-ZM-en

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity outcomes are expected for most of the country through December. Poor households in southwestern districts (such as Sesheke and Shangombo) with below-average purchasing power due to above-average staple food prices, limited non-agricultural labor income and below-average prices for livestock will remain in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) through at least December. 

  • Retail maize grain prices remain lower on most markets than in September 2014, although prices in urban areas are higher despite adequate supplies of maize. Maize meal prices, though still stable, are expected to start gradually increasing by October which could reduce the purchasing power for market-dependent households.

  • Formal maize exports continue to increase due to strong regional demand, particularly from Zimbabwe and Malawi. August maize exports grew 11 percent between July and August to 105,184 MT, with most imports are destined for Zimbabwe, followed by Malawi. Informal exports to Tanzania and DRC remain slow, as farmers in northern Zambia started selling some of their maize to the Food Reserve Agency, attracted by the above-market K75/50 kg price. 

     

    For more detailed analysis, see the July to December 2015 Food Security Outlook for Zambia

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics