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Above average rainfall was received in early November in central and southern parts of the region, signalling a start of the rainfall season in those areas. In contrast, low rainfall has been received in parts of Angola, DRC, and Tanzania.
Vegetation is above average in southern and central areas, providing ample grazing for livestock. Western and north-eastern areas however continue to experience below average vegetation conditions, with negative implications for grazing.
Seasonal forecasts indicate enhanced chances of normal to above normal rainfall in southern and central areas, raising the prospects of favourable agricultural outcomes. Northern areas are however forecast to have normal to below normal rainfall.
Forecasts indicate overall below average tropical cyclone activity is expected this season, although increased tropical cyclone activity is forecast in populated eastern parts of the region later in the second half of the season, putting these areas at risk.
FEWS NET’s Seasonal Monitor reports are produced for Central America and the Caribbean, West Africa, East Africa, Central Asia, and Somalia every 10-to-30 days during the region’s respective rainy season(s). Seasonal Monitors report updates on weather events (e.g., rainfall patterns) and associated impacts on ground conditions (e.g., cropping conditions, pasture and water availability), as well as the short-term rainfall forecast. Find more remote sensing information here.