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Delayed and erratic rains and high food prices to prolong Stressed outcomes

  • Key Message Update
  • Mozambique
  • November 2015
Delayed and erratic rains and high food prices to prolong Stressed outcomes

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • While the lean season continues, the majority of rural households are able to meet their basic food needs by expanding their typical livelihood strategies. From November to December, Minimal food insecurity outcomes (IPC Phase 1) will prevail throughout the country. However, Stressed (IPC Phase 2 and Phase2!) outcomes will persist in the interior of Gaza, Inhambane, and southern Sofala provinces. Social safety-net programming and humanitarian assistance is currently ongoing in the areas of concern and is expected to continue until the next harvest in March/April 2016. From January to March 2016 Stressed (IPC Phase 2 and Phase 2!) outcomes will continue for poor households.

    • With the effective rainfall yet to be established in much of the country, erratic rains have been occurring since the beginning of the second half of November, particularly in Maputo province and the coastal areas of Gaza and Inhambane provinces. However, most drought-affected areas in the interior of Gaza and Inhambane are still facing dry conditions due to the ongoing El Nino. Rainfall amounts and distribution during November are key for the start of the season.

    • Maize grain prices between September and October continued to be above average and increasing in most markets. Mocuba had the largest increase of 33 percent, followed by a 20 percent jump in Chókwe. The increasing trend reflects a consistent dwindling of maize stocks in the surplus producing regions and increased consumer demand. When compared to the previous year, this year’s maize grain prices were higher in almost all monitored markets. 

    • The Technical Secretariat for Food Security and Nutrition’s Vulnerability Assessment Group (SETSAN/GAV) is currently carrying out a countrywide vulnerability assessment. Findings from this assessment are expected to be available in early December and will provide an updated estimate of food insecure populations and where humanitarian assistance is needed. 

      For more detailed analysis, see the Food Security Outlook for October.

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    Figure 4

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    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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