Skip to main content

Increased demand and low supply continuing to increase prices

  • Key Message Update
  • Mozambique
  • July 2016
Increased demand and low supply continuing to increase prices

Download the Report

  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • In the El Niño drought-affected areas in the South and parts of the central region, poor households continue facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) acute food insecurity, with a smaller proportion facing Stressed (IPC Phase 2), due to the increasing difficulty meeting their basic food needs because of inadequate supplies and high staple food prices. In the North, the majority of poor households remain in Minimal (IPC Phase 1) as the 2015/16 harvest continues to cover their food needs. 

    • Staple food prices remain high, constraining household purchasing power as markets remain the predominant food source. From May to June, maize grain prices increased by 14 percent on average and are 167 percent above the five-year average and 145 percent higher than last year. In June, maize meal prices stabilized in most markets but remain 92 percent above the five-year average. Prices for rice, another substitute, fluctuated the past month, but remain 63 percent above the 5-year average. The national currency, the Metical, has depreciated about 24 percent against the USD since January 2016, and is fueling further price increases as imports continue to be more expensive.

    • In localized areas in the central region, the conflict is expected to continue to exacerbate food insecurity, as people need to adjust or abandon their livelihoods. Humanitarian assistance, which remains below needs across the country, is likely to be particularly hampered in these areas. The flow of food commodities from the surplus areas in the north to the deficit areas in the central and southern regions remain constrained despite the high demands. 

    • Since early July, the Mozambique Vulnerability Assessment Committee, known as SETSAN/GAV, has been conducting a national food security assessment, and FEWS NET has participated. The results, which will be available in early September, will update the May SETSAN/GAV IPC estimates and will project food security outcomes until the next harvest in March 2017. Since these estimates will use more recent data as opposed to the May IPC that used pre-harvest data, the estimates are expected to be more realistic and appropriate to guide humanitarian assistance.    

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

    Get the latest food security updates in your inbox Sign up for emails

    The information provided on this Website is not official U.S. Government information and does not represent the views or positions of the U.S. Agency for International Development or the U.S. Government.

    Jump back to top