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Food and livelihood needs continue to be unmet in poor households across the country

  • Food Security Outlook Update
  • Malawi
  • August 2015
Food and livelihood needs continue to be unmet in poor households across the country

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  • Key Messages
  • UPDATED ASSUMPTIONS
  • PROJECTED OUTLOOK THROUGH DECEMBER 2015
  • Key Messages
    • Most households in the central and northern region are consuming their own produced food stocks and purchasing maize in local markets. However, some poor households affected by drought during the 2014/15 agriculture season are currently Stressed (IPC Phase 2). These households are experiencing constrained access to food through purchases due to low agricultural labor supply. In the southern region, drought and flood-affected households in several areas are also Stressed (IPC Phase 2) due to thin market supplies and limited agricultural labor supply. 

    • Malawi’s projected maize deficit this year is approximately 500,000 MT, and the estimated cereal/food gap is over 220,000. So far, no significant progress has been made in cereal purchases to fill the gap. The National Food Reserve Agency is still in the process of purchasing 50,000 MT of locally produced maize. Furthermore, the total planned SGR stocks will only be just enough to cover humanitarian assistance needs for the current consumption year, with no reserves for the next consumption year.  

    • The majority of poor households in the southern will be in a food security Crisis (IPC Phase 3) between October and December. Areas in Crisis will require humanitarian assistance, however the response and planning has not been finalized and no official appeal for assistance has been announced.


    UPDATED ASSUMPTIONS

    The assumptions discussed in the July Food Security Outlook are still valid. A full discussion of the scenario is available in the July – December 2015 Malawi Food Security Outlook.


    PROJECTED OUTLOOK THROUGH DECEMBER 2015

    The majority of households in central and northern Malawi will face Stressed (IPC Phase 2) food security outcomes from September through December. The majority of households in southern Malawi will face Stressed (IPC Phase 2) food security outcomes through September and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) food security outcomes from October to December. These outcomes could worsen in the southern region of the country because of the labor impact of the expected El Niño event on the start of season and erratic rainfall during the 2015/16 agricultural season.  

    For more detailed analysis, see the Malawi Food Security Outlook for July.

    Figures Typical Year

    Figure 1

    Typical Year

    Source: FEWS NET

    Figure 1

    Source:

    This Food Security Outlook Update provides an analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography over the next six months. Learn more here.

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