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Malawi

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Latest food security analysis

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Key messages
Key Message Update July 2026 - January 2027 Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected in the south as food stocks decline Download report
  • Between July and September 2026, Minimal (IPC Phase 1) and Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected across the country as most households are able to meet their food needs during the post-harvest period. In areas of southern and central Malawi, Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are most likely as households are unable to meet their livelihood needs. Households are able to meet their food needs through own-produced household food stocks and income from crop sales. However, households in areas with below-average 2026 production and income-earning opportunities will have limited ability to fully cover their non-food expenses. 
  • From October 2026 to January 2027, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are most likely in areas of southern Malawi as poor households exhaust their food stocks from their own production and are market-reliant with below-average purchasing power. Increasing market reliance, combined with elevated food prices and reduced agricultural labor opportunities associated with the likely poor start to the 2026 to 2027 rainy season, is expected to constrain households’ ability to access sufficient food. Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected across remaining areas of southern Malawi and areas of the central region, where households are likely to meet minimum food needs but struggle to cover essential non-food expenditures.
  • Across FEWS NET-monitored markets, maize prices remained stable between June and July, averaging 742 MWK/kilogram (kg) and 755 MWK/kg, respectively. Maize prices in Mitundu, the national reference market, also remained stable between June and July. Prices have remained substantially below last year countrywide, including in the southern region, but above the five-year average. Despite seasonal decline following the main harvest, prices remain elevated because of high production and marketing costs, including agricultural inputs, labor, and transportation costs. These persistently high food prices continue to constrain households’ purchasing power. 
  • As of June 2026, the Agricultural Marketing Corporation (ADMARC) has resumed maize purchases, supporting income from crop sales at the government-approved farm gate price of 900 MWK/kg, nearly 25 percent higher than the June national average market price of 742 MWK/kg to incentivize maize producers to sell to the government. The government has allocated 60 billion MWK to procure 65,000 metric tons of maize and other crops during the June to September 2026 marketing season. Together with improved domestic production, ADMARC purchases are expected to support producer prices and to support market supply during the upcoming 2026/27 lean season. In addition, the government has allocated an additional 100  billion MWK for maize purchases for the Strategic Grain Reserve (SGR) to replenish the SGR to full capacity (to procure 108,000 MT) to improve national food stock. In July, the National Food Reserve Agency (NFRA) had procured about 13,000 Metric tonnes of maize.
  • Tobacco sales remain below last year’s volume and prices. As of July 3, the Tobacco Commission reported that cumulative sales reached 90 million kg, about 30 percent lower than the same period in 2025, while the average price declined by nearly 20 percent. Tobacco prices are approximately 11 percent lower than the five-year average. Reduced income from tobacco sales is likely to slow ongoing harvests and other labor-intensive activities, as well as agricultural investments by middle- and better-off households, in the coming months. This is expected to reduce labor opportunities and weaken purchasing power among poor households that rely heavily on labor employment.
  • In June 2026, the Malawi Energy Regulatory Authority reduced gas and diesel prices by 9 and 6 percent, respectively. However, fuel prices remain substantially above the levels recorded before the reinstatement of the Automatic Pricing Mechanism (APM) in November 2025. Current gas and diesel prices are approximately 120 and 130 percent higher, respectively, compared to November 2025. Fuel availability is stable, marking a notable improvement from the prolonged fuel shortages experienced over the past few months. While elevated fuel prices are having minimal impacts on food prices, they continue to contribute to increased transport and distribution costs. 
More analysis reports View all Malawi food security analysis reports
Monthly analysis
Food Security Outlook Malawi June 2026 - January 2027
Key Message Update Malawi May - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Update Malawi April - September 2026
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Monthly analysis
Food Security Outlook Malawi June 2026 - January 2027
Key Message Update Malawi May - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Update Malawi April - September 2026
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Explore food security analysis data
Description

The FEWS NET Data Explorer hosts the widest range of FEWS NET data for download or extract via API. The Data Explorer requires a free user account for access.

FEWS NET–style food security map of East Africa showing crisis severity by color, with conflict icons and alerts across Somalia, South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Kenya.
Acute Food Insecurity Area-Level Classifications

FEWS NET produces IPC-compatible area-level acute food insecurity classifications monthly for FEWS NET reporting countries. This data is available as spatial files, tabular files, and map images. It is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our Food Security Outlooks and Outlook Updates (FSO/U) and Key Message Updates (KMU).

View files (spatial and image) Go to Data Explorer
Map of East Africa with large colored circles over Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, and South Sudan indicating comparative regional metrics; capitals labeled.
Acutely Food Insecure Population Estimates

These estimates reflect the total population estimated to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity outcomes, including those who are receiving humanitarian food assistance and those who are not. This tabular data is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our FSOs, global Food Assistance Outlook Briefs (FAOB), and semi-annual global Peak Food Assistance Needs Outlook Briefs.

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Markets and trade resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s market price data and analysis, plus trade flow maps.

Learn more about markets and trade
Monthly Global Price Watch reports

This report provides the latest outlook on global, regional, and national market trends of key commodity prices in FEWS NET reporting countries and also analyzes the various drivers influencing these trends.

View Global Price Watch reports
Production and Trade Flow Maps

These maps display the geography of market systems and trade flow patterns for key products, including their key market towns and cross-border trade points.

View Malawi Production and Trade Flow Maps
Price data

Price data is available for a large number of countries and products around the world. This data can be used to track the change in price of commodities, food staples, agricultural inputs, and other products over time and is a key input to FEWS NET food security analysis and Global Price Watch reports.

View files (FEWS NET data only) Go to Data Explorer (all sources)
Agroclimatology resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s remote sensing data and analysis of weather conditions.

Learn more about agroclimatology
Weekly Global Weather Hazards reports

This report provides a global outlook on anticipated severe weather events, including maps with current weather information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to one week), and the potential impact on crop and pasture conditions.

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Seasonal Monitor reports

This report provides regional updates on weather events, rainfall patterns, and associated impacts on ground conditions (e.g., cropping conditions, water availability) during a given geography’s rainy season, along with a short-term rainfall forecast.

View Southern Africa Seasonal Monitor reports
Agroclimatology data

FEWS NET and its partners offer a range of online tools that share insights on rainfall, temperature, vegetation, soil moisture, and surface water conditions derived from remote sensing data collection and modeling.

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Livelihoods resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s maps, reports, and data on local livelihood systems.

Learn more about livelihoods
Malawi 2015 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
Livelihood Baselines

Baselines provide quantitative analysis of household livelihood options. It includes a detailed breakdown of food, cash, and expenditure patterns. The Baseline also highlights market patterns, seasonality, and coping strategies. 

View all Malawi Livelihood Baselines
Livelihood Zone maps

Zone Maps illustrate the country by zone, showing areas where people generally have the same options for obtaining food and income and engaging in trade.

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Seasonal Calendar
Description

These calendars illustrate the monthly availability of key food and income sources, plus the starts and ends to key rainy and lean seasons. They supplement livelihoods resources and are integral to FEWS NET’s food security analysis.

View and download the Malawi Seasonal Calendar
Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Malawi
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