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Malawi

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Latest food security analysis

Contact us with any questions about Malawi food security analysis availability.

Key messages
Key Message Update May - September 2026 Stressed (IPC Phase 2) expected through September in the south and center Download report
  • Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected in Nsanje, Chikwawa, Neno, and Mwanza districts, as well as in the central and southern lakeshore areas of Nkhotakota, Salima, and Mangochi through at least September. Most households are expected to meet their food needs from their own production. However, poor households are unable to meet their non-food needs due to below-average purchasing power amid a slow recovery in livelihood activity following recurrent shocks. In the rest of the country, Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes are expected through at least September, supported by own-produced food and typical seasonal income.
  • The main harvest began in April in the southern region and progressing to the central and northern regions, with maize harvesting now complete in the south and ongoing in parts of the center and north. National production is expected to be average, supported by generally favorable rainfall conditions. However, below-average rainfall and dry spells during the maize flowering period (mid-January to mid-February) caused moisture stress and reduced yields in parts of the Southern Lakeshore, Middle Shire, and Lower Shire livelihood zones. Additionally, heavy rainfall between March 15 and 20 caused flash flooding in several central and southern districts, leading to localized crop losses and further reducing production in affected areas. According to production data from the Ministry of Agriculture, the main harvest accounts for about 80 percent of national maize production, with the remaining 20 percent from irrigated and residual-moisture production. 
  • Annual headline inflation remains elevated at approximately 24 percent in April 2026, driven by high non-food inflation that rose from 30.7 percent in March to 33.2 percent in April, according to the National Statistical Office. Food inflation stabilized at 19 percent, supported by lower maize and rice prices due to increased market supply and decreased market demand following the recent harvest.  
  • Diesel prices rose by 103 percent and gasoline by 112 percent between September 2025 and April 2026, driven by rising international oil prices. High fuel prices raised food transportation costs to deficit-producing areas. In May 2026, the Malawi Energy Regulatory Authority (MERA) reduced gasoline prices by 7 percent, which offers only minor relief given the overall rise. Despite this reduction, fuel shortage is expected to continue in the coming months, particularly in remote areas.
  • Seasonal increases in the availability of staple cereals at both household and market levels are driving price declines across the country. For example, maize grain prices declined by about 15 percent countrywide between March and April, from an average of 1,025 MWK/kilogram to 892 MWK/kilogram across FEWS NET–monitored markets. Despite the decline month-on-month, prices remained around 85 percent above the multi-year average (2022-2024). The above-average prices are constraining market access for poor rural and urban households that still rely on purchases. In southern markets, maize prices reduced by 25 percent, due to increased availability from the harvest and decreased market demand.
More analysis reports View all Malawi food security analysis reports Monthly analysis
Food Security Outlook Update Malawi April - September 2026
Key Message Update Malawi March - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Malawi February - September 2026
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Monthly analysis
Food Security Outlook Update Malawi April - September 2026
Key Message Update Malawi March - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Malawi February - September 2026
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Explore food security analysis data
Description

The FEWS NET Data Explorer hosts the widest range of FEWS NET data for download or extract via API. The Data Explorer requires a free user account for access.

FEWS NET–style food security map of East Africa showing crisis severity by color, with conflict icons and alerts across Somalia, South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Kenya.
Acute Food Insecurity Area-Level Classifications

FEWS NET produces IPC-compatible area-level acute food insecurity classifications monthly for FEWS NET reporting countries. This data is available as spatial files, tabular files, and map images. It is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our Food Security Outlooks and Outlook Updates (FSO/U) and Key Message Updates (KMU).

View files (spatial and image) Go to Data Explorer
Map of East Africa with large colored circles over Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, and South Sudan indicating comparative regional metrics; capitals labeled.
Acutely Food Insecure Population Estimates

These estimates reflect the total population estimated to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity outcomes, including those who are receiving humanitarian food assistance and those who are not. This tabular data is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our FSOs, global Food Assistance Outlook Briefs (FAOB), and semi-annual global Peak Food Assistance Needs Outlook Briefs.

Go to Data Explorer
Markets and trade resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s market price data and analysis, plus trade flow maps.

Learn more about markets and trade
Monthly Global Price Watch reports

This report provides the latest outlook on global, regional, and national market trends of key commodity prices in FEWS NET reporting countries and also analyzes the various drivers influencing these trends.

View Global Price Watch reports
Production and Trade Flow Maps

These maps display the geography of market systems and trade flow patterns for key products, including their key market towns and cross-border trade points.

View Malawi Production and Trade Flow Maps
Price data

Price data is available for a large number of countries and products around the world. This data can be used to track the change in price of commodities, food staples, agricultural inputs, and other products over time and is a key input to FEWS NET food security analysis and Global Price Watch reports.

View files (FEWS NET data only) Go to Data Explorer (all sources)
Agroclimatology resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s remote sensing data and analysis of weather conditions.

Learn more about agroclimatology
Weekly Global Weather Hazards reports

This report provides a global outlook on anticipated severe weather events, including maps with current weather information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to one week), and the potential impact on crop and pasture conditions.

View Global Weather Hazards reports
Seasonal Monitor reports

This report provides regional updates on weather events, rainfall patterns, and associated impacts on ground conditions (e.g., cropping conditions, water availability) during a given geography’s rainy season, along with a short-term rainfall forecast.

View Southern Africa Seasonal Monitor reports
Agroclimatology data

FEWS NET and its partners offer a range of online tools that share insights on rainfall, temperature, vegetation, soil moisture, and surface water conditions derived from remote sensing data collection and modeling.

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Livelihoods resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s maps, reports, and data on local livelihood systems.

Learn more about livelihoods
Malawi 2015 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
Livelihood Baselines

Baselines provide quantitative analysis of household livelihood options. It includes a detailed breakdown of food, cash, and expenditure patterns. The Baseline also highlights market patterns, seasonality, and coping strategies. 

View all Malawi Livelihood Baselines
Livelihood Zone maps

Zone Maps illustrate the country by zone, showing areas where people generally have the same options for obtaining food and income and engaging in trade.

View all Malawi Livelihood Zone Maps
Seasonal Calendar
Description

These calendars illustrate the monthly availability of key food and income sources, plus the starts and ends to key rainy and lean seasons. They supplement livelihoods resources and are integral to FEWS NET’s food security analysis.

View and download the Malawi Seasonal Calendar
Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Malawi
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