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Crisis (IPC Phase 3) likely in Androy and parts of Astimo Andrefana and Anosy by October

  • Remote Monitoring Report
  • Madagascar
  • September 2015
Crisis (IPC Phase 3) likely in Androy and parts of Astimo Andrefana and Anosy by October

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • In the areas of concern of Androy, southern and central Atsimo Andrefana, and part of Anosy Region, poor households have exhausted own-produced staple food stocks several months earlier than normal and have increasingly resorted to market purchase for staple foods. 

    • Local sources report of maize prices significantly above-normal in these areas. While in some areas, like in the district of Bekily, counter-season crops provide income to agricultural households, food access is most constrained for poor households who do not typically harvest cash crops.

    • Households are increasingly adopt coping strategies typical of the lean season, like reducing meal size and selling animals. The price of small ruminants and poultry already began decreasing last month in some parts of Androy, where livestock is typically more important as a source of income.  

    • Forecasts for the next rainy season suggest an increased likelihood that rainfall will be below-average in the south of the country at least until February 2016. This will likely result in below-average labor opportunities during the peak of the lean season, following by below-average harvests.

    • Given the early food exhaustion and staple food price trends, poor households in the districts of Tsihombe and the southern part of Ambovombe are currently facing Crisis (IPC 3), while the other areas of concern are currently in Stress (IPC 2), but will likely deteriorate in Crisis (IPC 3) at the end of October.

       

      For more detailed analysis, see the August 2015 Madagascar Remote Monitoring Update

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    In remote monitoring, a coordinator typically works from a nearby regional office. Relying on partners for data, the coordinator uses scenario development to conduct analysis and produce monthly reports. As less data may be available, remote monitoring reports may have less detail than those from countries with FEWS NET offices. Learn more about our work here.

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