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Near-average national rice production this year, along with a near-average March/April 2014 maize/legume harvest is expected to maintain Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity in northern and central Madagascar through March 2015.
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In areas of the south and southwest that faced multiple shocks in 2013, high staple food prices and above-average debt levels are likely to lead to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) acute food insecurity among poor households starting in October and lasting through March 2015.
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The rainy season appears to be starting on time in most areas and with average amounts of rainfall. Forecasts for normal to below-normal rainfall in central and northern Madagascar between October and December 2014 during the start of the rainy season may affect local production and associated labor activities.
For more detailed analysis, see the October 2014 Madagascar Remote Monitoring Update.
In remote monitoring, a coordinator typically works from a nearby regional office. Relying on partners for data, the coordinator uses scenario development to conduct analysis and produce monthly reports. As less data may be available, remote monitoring reports may have less detail than those from countries with FEWS NET offices. Learn more about our work here.