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Latest food security analysis

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Key messages
Perspectives sur la sécurité alimentaire Juin 2026 - Janvier 2027 La soudure précoce et les effets probables d’El Niño devraient entraîner une détérioration de l’insécurité alimentaire aiguë dans le Grand Sud Download report Read full report
  • Entre juin et septembre 2026, une détérioration précoce des résultats vers Crise (Phase 3 de l’IPC) serait observée à Toliara II et Amboasary avant la fin de la période, où les pertes de manioc et de patate douce sont les plus importantes du fait que les stocks des ménages pauvres devraient s’épuiser plus tôt que d’habitude. Dans la plupart des zones de préoccupation du Grand Sud, les récoltes de tubercules et les prix du riz inférieurs à ceux de l’année dernière devraient maintenir des résultats de Stress (Phase 2 de l’IPC) durant cette période.
  • Jusqu'en septembre, des résultats de Stress (Phase 2 de l’IPC) sont observés dans une grande partie du Grand Sud, du Grand Sud-Est et dans plusieurs districts de l’Est et de l’Ouest affectés par les cyclones Fytia et Gezani, tandis que la majeure partie du pays demeure en Minimale (Phase 1 de l’IPC). Dans les zones de préoccupation, les récoltes inférieures à la normale, les revenus réduits et la faible diversité alimentaire limitent l’accès alimentaire des ménages pauvres, bien que la disponibilité accrue de riz et les récoltes de tubercules atténuent les déficits pendant deux mois.
  • D’octobre 2026 à janvier 2027, les résultats devraient se détériorer vers Crise (Phase 3 de l’IPC) dans le Grand Sud en raison de l’épuisement précoce des stocks, de la hausse saisonnière des prix et du démarrage probablement retardé de la saison des pluies 2026/27 associé à El Niño. Les ménages pauvres de la zone feraient face à des écarts de consommations alimentaires importants et intensifier l’endettement, la vente d’actifs, la migration et la consommation d’aliments sauvages afin de les réduire.
  • FEWS NET estime que 1,5 à 1,99 million de personnes auront besoin d’assistance alimentaire humanitaire entre juin 2026 et janvier 2027, avec des besoins qui devraient atteindre un pic dans le Sud de Madagascar pendant la soudure d’octobre 2026 à janvier 2027. 

L’analyse présentée ici est basée sur les informations disponibles au 23 juin 2026.

More analysis reports View all Madagascar food security analysis reports
Monthly analysis
Key Message Update Madagascar May - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Update Madagascar April - September 2026
Key Message Update Madagascar March - September 2026
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Monthly analysis
Key Message Update Madagascar May - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Update Madagascar April - September 2026
Key Message Update Madagascar March - September 2026
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Explore food security analysis data
Description

The FEWS NET Data Explorer hosts the widest range of FEWS NET data for download or extract via API. The Data Explorer requires a free user account for access.

FEWS NET–style food security map of East Africa showing crisis severity by color, with conflict icons and alerts across Somalia, South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Kenya.
Acute Food Insecurity Area-Level Classifications

FEWS NET produces IPC-compatible area-level acute food insecurity classifications monthly for FEWS NET reporting countries. This data is available as spatial files, tabular files, and map images. It is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our Food Security Outlooks and Outlook Updates (FSO/U) and Key Message Updates (KMU).

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Map of East Africa with large colored circles over Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, and South Sudan indicating comparative regional metrics; capitals labeled.
Acutely Food Insecure Population Estimates

These estimates reflect the total population estimated to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity outcomes, including those who are receiving humanitarian food assistance and those who are not. This tabular data is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our FSOs, global Food Assistance Outlook Briefs (FAOB), and semi-annual global Peak Food Assistance Needs Outlook Briefs.

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Markets and trade resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s market price data and analysis, plus trade flow maps.

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Monthly Global Price Watch reports

This report provides a global outlook on anticipated severe weather events, including maps with current weather information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to one week), and the potential impact on crop and pasture conditions.

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Price data

Price data is available for a large number of countries and products around the world. This data can be used to track the change in price of commodities, food staples, agricultural inputs, and other products over time and is a key input to FEWS NET food security analysis and Global Price Watch reports.

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Agroclimatology resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s remote sensing data and analysis of weather conditions.

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Weekly Global Weather Hazards reports

This report provides a global outlook on anticipated severe weather events, including maps with current weather information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to one week), and the potential impact on crop and pasture conditions.

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Seasonal Monitor reports

This report provides regional updates on weather events, rainfall patterns, and associated impacts on ground conditions (e.g., cropping conditions, water availability) during a given geography’s rainy season, along with a short-term rainfall forecast.

View Southern Africa Seasonal Monitor reports
Agroclimatology data

FEWS NET and its partners offer a range of online tools that share insights on rainfall, temperature, vegetation, soil moisture, and surface water conditions derived from remote sensing data collection and modeling.

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Livelihoods resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s maps, reports, and data on local livelihood systems.

Learn more about livelihoods
Madagascar 2017 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
Livelihood Baselines

Baselines provide quantitative analysis of household livelihood options. It includes a detailed breakdown of food, cash, and expenditure patterns. The Baseline also highlights market patterns, seasonality, and coping strategies.

View latest Madagascar Livelihood Baselines
Livelihood Zone Descriptions

Zone Descriptions accompany a Zone Map, briefly describing the main characteristics of the livelihood patterns in that zone. The maps and descriptions are useful in informing the development of monitoring systems.

View latest Madagascar Livelihood Zone Descriptions
Livelihood Zone maps

Zone Maps illustrate the country by zone, showing areas where people generally have the same options for obtaining food and income and engaging in trade.

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Seasonal Calendar
Description

These calendars illustrate the monthly availability of key food and income sources, plus the starts and ends to key rainy and lean seasons. They supplement livelihoods resources and are integral to FEWS NET’s food security analysis.

View and download the Madagascar Seasonal Calendar
Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Madagascar.
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