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Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes expected to continue through the post-harvest period

  • Key Message Update
  • Lesotho
  • July 2017
Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes expected to continue through the post-harvest period

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Following a good harvest, Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food security outcomes are expected between July and January. Currently many households are consuming their own produced stocks and are not relying on market purchases. However, during the October-January period, households will start to deplete their own food stocks as the lean season approaches, and some will be Stressed (IPC Phase 2). 

    • The 2017/18 annual Vulnerability Assessment and Analysis by the LVAC indicates that an estimated 224,664 people are likely to be food insecure at peak lean period (December 2017-February 2018). This estimated food insecure population is much lower than average. 

    • The results from the 2016/17 national crop forecast estimates that cereal production is 200 percent above the five-year average. Very high crop production is the main driver of improved food security in Lesotho this year. Crop sales is one of the main income sources during the July-September period. Other income sources, including self-employment and non-agricultural labor, are expected to be normal during the dry season. 

    • Current cereal supplies in markets are above normal because households are selling their crops. Traders are planning to resell the maize that they are currently buying from the farmers at low prices. Traders will also provide a significant portion of the maize to milers. 

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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