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Maize prices continue to decline due to oversupply on most markets

  • Key Message Update
  • Southern Africa
  • August 2017
Maize prices continue to decline due to oversupply on most markets

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • The post-harvest period continues and most households across the region are experiencing Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity outcomes. For countries with above-average harvests this season, Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes are expected to continue through January 2018. However, parts of central and eastern DRC continue to be the worst affected areas in the region because of conflict and drought conditions and will remain in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) for the entire outlook period. Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are being experienced in chronically food insecure parts of Zimbabwe, Mozambique, and Madagascar and these outcomes are likely to further deteriorate into Crisis (IPC Phase 3) by October. 

    • Prices continue to significantly decline in several countries in the region. This decrease is benefiting urban communities, but poor rural households that normally rely on income from crops sales are being adversely affected. In Malawi and Zimbabwe maize grain prices are significantly lower than in previous years and is selling for as low as MWK 50/kg and USD$ 0.11/kg. Rural households in Mozambique have also reported atypically low prices, which may be a barrier for households that usually use this income for the purchase of inputs for the next cropping season.  

    • Winter cropping activities in the region are proceeding well this year and are mainly limited to South Africa, Mozambique, and Zimbabwe. Initially, there was concern about the risk of Fall Armyworm (FAW) infestations, but damage from FAW is looking unlikely. Nonetheless, during the next 2017/18 cropping season the risk of damage by the FAW on crops remains high in the region. 

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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